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Tuesday, November 18, 2025

North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina Tar Heels

73

vs
Navy MidshipmenNavy Midshipmen

61

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

North Carolina Tar Heels

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~14→15

+1

Navy Midshipmen

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:42

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~11→19

+8

North Carolina Tar Heels averages 1 droughts/game  · Navy Midshipmen forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

North Carolina Tar Heels droughts

2

Navy Midshipmen droughts

7:14

Longest drought

Navy Midshipmen

34

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Navy Midshipmen drought cost

2 droughts • 19 pts drought cost

19

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

North Carolina Tar Heels drought cost

2 droughts • 15 pts drought cost

15

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar Heels

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 54 → 56 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Caleb Wilson made Dunk. Assisted by Jarin Stevenson.

2-Pointer

3:42

0.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 68 → 71 · Opponent scored 15 pts

Ended by: Jarin Stevenson made Three Point Jumper. Assisted by Kyan Evans.

3-Pointer

3:30

15.0 pts

Navy Midshipmen

Navy Midshipmen

2
2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 40 → 42 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Jinwoo Kim made Layup.

2-Pointer

7:14

11.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 35 → 38 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Jinwoo Kim made Three Point Jumper. Assisted by Austin Benigni.

3-Pointer

3:03

8.0 pts