Merrimack Warriors at Marist Red Foxes

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Monday, January 19, 2026

Conference Game

Marist Red Foxes

Merrimack Warriors

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Marist Red Foxes

High confidence

est. droughts

3:48

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 21 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ As predicted

Droughts

~3→3

Pts Ceded

~21→22

Merrimack Warriors

High confidence

est. droughts

3:57

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 28 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ Much better than predicted

Droughts

~4→1

-3

Pts Ceded

~28→2

-26

Marist Red Foxes averages 2 droughts/game · Merrimack Warriors forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

Both teams combined

Marist Red Foxes Droughts

Merrimack Warriors Droughts

Longest Drought

4:41

Marist Red Foxes

Drought Point Swing

Total unanswered points during droughts

Marist Red Foxes Drought Impact

3 droughts • 22 unanswered points allowed

22.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Merrimack Warriors Drought Impact

1 drought • 2 unanswered points allowed

2.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline

All Droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)

Marist Red Foxes

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 14 → 17 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Justin Menard makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jason Schofield assists)

3-Pointer

4:41

13.4 opp pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 41 → 42 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Rhyjon Blackwell makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:18

14.5 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 45 → 47 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Jaden Daughtry makes 6-foot hook shot

2-Pointer

3:01

9.1 opp pts

Merrimack Warriors

1st Halfnotable

Score: 27 → 28 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Ernest Shelton makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:28

7.9 opp pts