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Monday, January 19, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Marist Red Foxes

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:48

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~17→22

+5

Merrimack Warriors

High confidence

4

est. droughts

3:57

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 26 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Much better than expected

Droughts

~4→1

-3

Pts ceded

~26→2

-24

Marist Red Foxes averages 2 droughts/game  · Merrimack Warriors forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

Marist Red Foxes droughts

1

Merrimack Warriors droughts

4:41

Longest drought

Marist Red Foxes

24

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Marist Red Foxes drought cost

3 droughts • 22 pts drought cost

22

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Merrimack Warriors drought cost

1 drought • 2 pts drought cost

2

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Marist Red Foxes

Marist Red Foxes

3
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 14 → 17 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Justin Menard makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jason Schofield assists)

3-Pointer

4:41

7.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 41 → 42 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Rhyjon Blackwell makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:18

10.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 45 → 47 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Jaden Daughtry makes 6-foot hook shot

2-Pointer

3:01

5.0 pts

Merrimack Warriors

Merrimack Warriors

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 27 → 28 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Ernest Shelton makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:28

2.0 pts