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Saturday, December 20, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Ohio State Buckeyes

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~14→12

-2

North Carolina Tar Heels

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~9→5

-4

Ohio State Buckeyes averages 1 droughts/game  · North Carolina Tar Heels forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Ohio State Buckeyes droughts

1

North Carolina Tar Heels droughts

3:30

Longest drought

Ohio State Buckeyes

17

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

North Carolina Tar Heels drought cost

1 drought • 5 pts drought cost

5

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Ohio State Buckeyes drought cost

2 droughts • 12 pts drought cost

12

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Ohio State Buckeyes

Ohio State Buckeyes

2
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 41 → 43 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Christoph Tilly makes layup (Bruce Thornton assists)

2-Pointer

3:30

7.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 5 → 7 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Amare Bynum makes 1-foot dunk (Devin Royal assists)

2-Pointer

3:24

5.0 pts

North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar Heels

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 2 → 4 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Henri Veesaar makes 3-foot tip in dunk

2-Pointer

3:04

5.0 pts