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Saturday, February 14, 2026

Conference Game
Cal Poly MustangsCal Poly Mustangs

89

vs
UC Santa Barbara GauchosUC Santa Barbara Gauchos

79

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Cal Poly Mustangs

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:15

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ Better than predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts Ceded

~16→5

-11

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ As predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts Ceded

~10→8

-2

Cal Poly Mustangs averages 2 droughts/game  · UC Santa Barbara Gauchos forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

2

Both teams combined

Cal Poly Mustangs Droughts

1

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Droughts

1

Longest Drought

3:22

Cal Poly Mustangs

Drought Point Swing

13

Total unanswered points during droughts

Cal Poly Mustangs Drought Impact

1 drought • 5 unanswered points allowed

5.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Drought Impact

1 drought • 8 unanswered points allowed

8.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Cal Poly Mustangs

Cal Poly Mustangs

1
1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 37 → 39 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Hamad Mousa makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:22

12.5 opp pts

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 49 → 50 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Aidan Mahaney makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:05

14.1 opp pts