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Saturday, February 14, 2026

Conference game
Cal Poly MustangsCal Poly Mustangs

89

vs
UC Santa Barbara GauchosUC Santa Barbara Gauchos

79

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Cal Poly Mustangs

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:15

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~11→5

-6

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~8→8

+0

Cal Poly Mustangs averages 1 droughts/game  · UC Santa Barbara Gauchos forces 1 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Cal Poly Mustangs droughts

1

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos droughts

3:22

Longest drought

Cal Poly Mustangs

13

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Cal Poly Mustangs drought cost

1 drought • 5 pts drought cost

5

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos drought cost

1 drought • 8 pts drought cost

8

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Cal Poly Mustangs

Cal Poly Mustangs

1
1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 37 → 39 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Hamad Mousa makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:22

5.0 pts

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 49 → 50 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Aidan Mahaney makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:05

8.0 pts