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Saturday, January 3, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Long Beach State Beach

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~10→11

+1

Cal Poly Mustangs

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

4:15

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~8→9

+1

Long Beach State Beach averages 2 droughts/game  · Cal Poly Mustangs forces 1 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Long Beach State Beach droughts

1

Cal Poly Mustangs droughts

3:44

Longest drought

Long Beach State Beach

20

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Cal Poly Mustangs drought cost

1 drought • 9 pts drought cost

9

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Long Beach State Beach drought cost

1 drought • 11 pts drought cost

11

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Long Beach State Beach

Long Beach State Beach

1
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 65 → 68 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Gavin Sykes makes 25-foot three point jumper (JJ Chaikovsky assists)

3-Pointer

3:44

11.0 pts

Cal Poly Mustangs

Cal Poly Mustangs

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 32 → 34 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Peter Bandelj makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:31

9.0 pts