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Thursday, February 19, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:49

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~12

+1

Pts Ceded

~1016

+6

Cal Poly Mustangs

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:15

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 20 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~207

-13

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors averages 2 droughts/game  · Cal Poly Mustangs forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

3

Both teams combined

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors Droughts

2

Cal Poly Mustangs Droughts

1

Longest Drought

3:54

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Drought Point Swing

23

Total unanswered points during droughts

Cal Poly Mustangs Drought Impact

1 drought7 unanswered points allowed

7.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

2 droughts16 unanswered points allowed

16.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

2
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 5254 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Dre Bullock makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:54

16.3 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 3334 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Isaac Johnson makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:06

12.8 opp pts

Cal Poly Mustangs

Cal Poly Mustangs

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 5255 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Cayden Ward makes 26-foot three point jumper (Peter Bandelj assists)

3-Pointer

3:37

14.8 opp pts