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Thursday, February 12, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Cal Poly Mustangs

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:15

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 19 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~1925

+6

UC Irvine Anteaters

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~23

+1

Pts Ceded

~1122

+11

Cal Poly Mustangs averages 2 droughts/game  · UC Irvine Anteaters forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

5

Both teams combined

Cal Poly Mustangs Droughts

2

UC Irvine Anteaters Droughts

3

Longest Drought

4:42

Cal Poly Mustangs

Drought Point Swing

47

Total unanswered points during droughts

Cal Poly Mustangs Drought Impact

2 droughts25 unanswered points allowed

25.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

UC Irvine Anteaters Drought Impact

3 droughts22 unanswered points allowed

22.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Cal Poly Mustangs

Cal Poly Mustangs

2
1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 2527 · Opponent scored 15 pts

Ended by: Troy Plumtree makes layup (Guzman Vasilic assists)

2-Pointer

4:42

24.3 opp pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 23 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Cayden Ward makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:14

18.4 opp pts

UC Irvine Anteaters

UC Irvine Anteaters

3
1st Halfnotable

Score: 1012 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Andre Henry makes 5-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:51

16.0 opp pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 4244 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Akiva McBirney-Griffin makes layup

2-Pointer

3:18

11.0 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4749 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Derin Saran makes layup

2-Pointer

3:07

13.7 opp pts