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Thursday, February 12, 2026

Conference game
Cal Poly MustangsCal Poly Mustangs

79

vs
UC Irvine AnteatersUC Irvine Anteaters

73

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Cal Poly Mustangs

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:15

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~13→25

+12

UC Irvine Anteaters

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→3

+2

Pts ceded

~8→22

+14

Cal Poly Mustangs averages 1 droughts/game  · UC Irvine Anteaters forces 2 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Cal Poly Mustangs droughts

3

UC Irvine Anteaters droughts

4:42

Longest drought

Cal Poly Mustangs

47

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Cal Poly Mustangs drought cost

2 droughts • 25 pts drought cost

25

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UC Irvine Anteaters drought cost

3 droughts • 22 pts drought cost

22

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Cal Poly Mustangs

Cal Poly Mustangs

2
1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 25 → 27 · Opponent scored 15 pts

Ended by: Troy Plumtree makes layup (Guzman Vasilic assists)

2-Pointer

4:42

15.0 pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 2 → 3 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Cayden Ward makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:14

10.0 pts

UC Irvine Anteaters

UC Irvine Anteaters

3
1st Halfnotable

Score: 10 → 12 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Andre Henry makes 5-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:51

9.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 42 → 44 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Akiva McBirney-Griffin makes layup

2-Pointer

3:18

5.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 47 → 49 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Derin Saran makes layup

2-Pointer

3:07

8.0 pts