Home

Saturday, February 28, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

UC San Diego Tritons

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:55

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 6 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~6→6

+0

Cal Poly Mustangs

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:15

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As predicted

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~14→17

+3

UC San Diego Tritons averages 1 droughts/game  · Cal Poly Mustangs forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

UC San Diego Tritons droughts

2

Cal Poly Mustangs droughts

8:02

Longest drought

Cal Poly Mustangs

23

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Cal Poly Mustangs drought cost

2 droughts • 17 pts drought cost

17

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UC San Diego Tritons drought cost

2 droughts • 6 pts drought cost

6

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UC San Diego Tritons

UC San Diego Tritons

2
1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 42 → 44 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Emanuel Prospere II makes layup

2-Pointer

3:40

6.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 16 → 18 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Jaden Vance makes driving layup (Bol Dengdit assists)

2-Pointer

3:14

0.0 pts

Cal Poly Mustangs

Cal Poly Mustangs

2
1st Halfcritical

Score: 14 → 17 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: Hamad Mousa makes 30-foot three point jumper (Cayden Ward assists)

3-Pointer

8:02

13.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 30 → 32 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Hamad Mousa makes 4-foot floating jump shot

2-Pointer

3:21

4.0 pts