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Thursday, January 1, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Cal Poly Mustangs

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:15

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As predicted

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~14→9

-5

UC San Diego Tritons

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:55

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 6 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~6→9

+3

Cal Poly Mustangs averages 1 droughts/game  · UC San Diego Tritons forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Cal Poly Mustangs droughts

2

UC San Diego Tritons droughts

4:04

Longest drought

UC San Diego Tritons

18

Drought point swing

Total unanswered points during droughts

Cal Poly Mustangs drought impact

2 droughts • 9 unanswered points allowed

9

Points allowed during droughts

Actual point differential change

UC San Diego Tritons drought impact

2 droughts • 9 unanswered points allowed

9

Points allowed during droughts

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Cal Poly Mustangs

Cal Poly Mustangs

2
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 50 → 53 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Peter Bandelj makes 27-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

4:00

9.7 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 23 → 26 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Guzman Vasilic makes 29-foot three point jumper (Ali Assran assists)

3-Pointer

3:27

11.8 opp pts

UC San Diego Tritons

UC San Diego Tritons

2
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 56 → 59 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Alex Chaikin makes 26-foot three point jumper (Hudson Mayes assists)

3-Pointer

4:04

11.6 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 44 → 47 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Alex Chaikin makes 24-foot three point jumper (Emanuel Prospere II assists)

3-Pointer

3:01

8.9 opp pts