OC Tendencies Scouting Report · April 30, 2026
Tye Hiatt
OC · Southern Utah · Big Sky · 2,230 plays tracked
Run%
55%
Pass%
45%
EPA/Play
+0.26
Southern Utah 2023–present (FCS)
Key Findings
Run-first offense55% run rate over 2,230 plays — establishes the run as the primary play-caller identity.
3rd & Long: throws it85% pass — 40pp more pass-oriented than the 45% career average (107 plays).
Goal Line: runs it80% run — 25pp run-heavier than the 55% career average (144 plays).
2-Min Drill: throws it63% pass — 18pp more pass-oriented than the 45% career average (319 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.05n=984
62% R
2nd Down+0.22n=738
58% R
3rd Down+0.68n=461
65% P
4th Down+1.00n=47
55% P
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.78n=114
82% R
Medium (4-6)+0.61n=114
81% P
Long (7-9)+0.87n=107
85% P
Very Long (10+)+0.47n=126
77% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.30n=1468
51% R
Midfield+0.03n=443
56% R
Red Zone+0.15n=175
61% R
Goal Line+0.68n=144
80% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.40n=365
67% R
Up Close+0.39n=277
61% R
Tied+0.11n=476
53% R
Down Close+0.25n=476
50% R
Down Big+0.23n=636
51% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.2449%n=319
63% P
After Big Gain+0.1051%n=272
60% R
After Sack+0.0327%n=59
51% R
Inside Opp 40+0.1850%n=762
61% R
Middle 8+0.3051%n=415
53% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.10n=272
60% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.15n=157
61% R
Sack+0.03n=59
51% R
Negative Play+0.41n=189
56% P
Stuffed Run+0.40n=205
57% P
1st Down Tendency+0.05n=984
62% R
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.05n=329
67% R
Midfield-0.31n=34
76% R
Red Zone-0.31n=8
50% R
Goal Line+0.94n=3
100% R
Predictability Index
3rd & Longpasses 85%
Defenses will prepare for this
2-Minute Drillpasses 63%
Red Zoneruns 61%
After Big Gainruns 60%
Overall Tendencyruns 55%
Advanced Intel
Tempo31.2s avg / 37.0s median
Explosive8.1% rush / 17.5% pass
1st Half Opening Drive50% run (n=202)
2nd Half Opening Drive56% run (n=219)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →