OC Tendencies Scouting Report · September 13, 2026
Robert Anae
OC · Utah State · Mountain West · 2,411 plays tracked
Run%
43%
Pass%
57%
EPA/Play
+0.26
Utah State 2026–presentNC State 2023–2024Syracuse 2022–2022Virginia 2016–2021
Key Findings
Pass-first offense57% pass rate over 2,411 plays — relies on the passing game to drive the offense.
3rd & Short: runs it70% run — 27pp run-heavier than the 43% career average (113 plays).
Garbage Time: runs it63% run — 20pp run-heavier than the 43% career average (108 plays).
Goal Line: runs it60% run — 17pp run-heavier than the 43% career average (195 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.14n=1135
56% P
2nd Down+0.27n=772
56% P
3rd Down+0.53n=449
63% P
4th Down+0.20n=54
57% P
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.62n=113
70% R
Medium (4-6)+0.50n=120
69% P
Long (7-9)+0.62n=83
82% P
Very Long (10+)+0.43n=133
73% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.31n=1544
59% P
Midfield+0.04n=456
57% P
Red Zone+0.13n=216
59% P
Goal Line+0.51n=195
60% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.35n=478
55% R
Up Close+0.29n=406
51% P
Tied+0.22n=321
58% P
Down Close+0.19n=491
58% P
Down Big+0.24n=715
68% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.1847%n=323
66% P
After Big Gain+0.3659%n=335
56% P
After Sack+0.3733%n=92
72% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1751%n=867
54% P
Middle 8+0.1948%n=410
64% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.36n=335
56% P
Big Gain (20+)+0.39n=188
55% P
Sack+0.37n=92
72% P
Negative Play+0.35n=176
62% P
Stuffed Run+0.26n=144
50% R
1st Down Tendency+0.14n=1135
56% P
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.12n=369
56% P
Midfield+0.10n=33
58% R
Red Zone-0.22n=15
53% R
Goal Line-0.10n=8
63% R
Run/Pass Imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 82%
After Sackpasses 72%
When Trailing Bigpasses 68%
2-Minute Drillpasses 66%
Red Zonepasses 59%
Advanced Intel
Tempo24.9s avg / 26.4s median
Explosive7.4% rush / 19.0% pass
1st Half Opening Drive56% pass (n=231)
2nd Half Opening Drive58% pass (n=213)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →