OC Tendencies scouting report · October 28, 2026
Robert Anae
OC · Utah State · Mountain West · 4,026 plays tracked
46%
Run %
54%
Pass %
+0.22
EPA per play
Utah State 2026–presentNC State 2023–2024Syracuse 2022–2022Virginia 2016–2021
Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)
Balanced attack46% run / 54% pass over 4,026 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Short: runs it71% run — 25pp run-heavier than the 46% career average (206 plays).
Garbage Time: runs it66% run — 20pp run-heavier than the 46% career average (180 plays).
Goal Line: runs it60% run — 15pp run-heavier than the 46% career average (306 plays).
By down
1st down+0.09n=1860
52% P
2nd down+0.22n=1295
53% P
3rd down+0.55n=782
61% P
4th down+0.14n=88
56% P
3rd down by distance
Short (1-3)+0.65n=206
71% R
Medium (4-6)+0.54n=192
69% P
Long (7-9)+0.68n=157
79% P
Very Long (10+)+0.36n=227
71% P
Field zone
Own Territory+0.25n=2641
56% P
Midfield+0.02n=744
54% P
Red Zone+0.21n=335
54% P
Goal Line+0.53n=306
60% R
Game script
Up Big+0.31n=766
58% R
Up Close+0.22n=714
52% R
Tied+0.14n=624
54% P
Down Close+0.20n=873
57% P
Down Big+0.22n=1049
65% P
Quick stats
2-Min Drill+0.1448%n=529
61% P
After Big Gain+0.3258%n=526
54% P
After Sack+0.2735%n=140
64% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1750%n=1385
51% P
Middle 8+0.1849%n=711
60% P
Post-event reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.32n=526
54% P
Big Gain (20+)+0.32n=299
53% P
Sack+0.27n=140
64% P
Negative Play+0.30n=299
58% P
Stuffed Run+0.30n=263
51% R
1st Down Tendency+0.09n=1860
52% P
Drive openers by zone
Own Territory+0.04n=645
52% R
Midfield+0.07n=54
57% R
Red Zone-0.17n=21
62% R
Goal Line+0.05n=16
63% R
Run/pass imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 79%
When Trailing Bigpasses 65%
After Sackpasses 64%
2-Minute Drillpasses 61%
Overall Tendencypasses 54%
Advanced intel
Tempo28.2s avg / 31.4s median
Explosive7.4% rush / 18.1% pass
1st Half Opening Drive53% pass (n=374)
2nd Half Opening Drive57% pass (n=374)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →