OC Tendencies Scouting Report · October 1, 2026
Rich Rodriguez
OC · West Virginia · Big 12 · 3,393 plays tracked
Run%
62%
Pass%
38%
EPA/Play
+0.19
West Virginia 2025–presentJacksonville State 2023–2024Jacksonville State 2022–2022 (FCS)
Key Findings
Run-first offense62% run rate over 3,393 plays — establishes the run as the primary play-caller identity.
3rd & Very Long: throws it78% pass — 40pp more pass-oriented than the 38% career average (144 plays).
Goal Line: runs it86% run — 23pp run-heavier than the 62% career average (263 plays).
Garbage Time: runs it83% run — 21pp run-heavier than the 62% career average (215 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.11n=1492
76% R
2nd Down+0.23n=1123
57% R
3rd Down+0.40n=674
56% P
4th Down-0.41n=103
56% R
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.52n=207
74% R
Medium (4-6)+0.30n=169
59% P
Long (7-9)+0.32n=154
75% P
Very Long (10+)+0.43n=144
78% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.22n=2246
58% R
Midfield-0.09n=646
63% R
Red Zone+0.25n=238
77% R
Goal Line+0.56n=263
86% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.27n=771
77% R
Up Close+0.26n=581
64% R
Tied+0.16n=576
64% R
Down Close+0.17n=687
56% R
Down Big+0.10n=778
51% R
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.1750%n=414
55% R
After Big Gain+0.1054%n=389
75% R
After Sack+0.3546%n=72
53% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1351%n=1147
71% R
Middle 8+0.2150%n=642
60% R
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.10n=389
75% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.10n=227
78% R
Sack+0.35n=72
53% P
Negative Play+0.27n=248
53% P
Stuffed Run+0.33n=335
54% R
1st Down Tendency+0.11n=1492
76% R
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.17n=562
71% R
Midfield+0.01n=49
69% R
Red Zone+0.08n=15
73% R
Goal Line+0.12n=12
83% R
Run/Pass Imbalance
Red Zoneruns 77%
3rd & Longpasses 75%
After Big Gainruns 75%
Overall Tendencyruns 62%
2-Minute Drillruns 55%
Advanced Intel
Tempo24.3s avg / 23.5s median
Explosive8.1% rush / 17.7% pass
1st Half Opening Drive66% run (n=287)
2nd Half Opening Drive63% run (n=295)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →