OC Tendencies Scouting Report · August 8, 2026

Jim Zebrowski

OC · Kansas · Big 12 · 762 plays tracked

Run%

53%

Pass%

47%

EPA/Play

+0.26

Kansas 2025–present

Key Findings

Balanced attack53% run / 47% pass over 762 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.

Goal Line: runs it77% run — 24pp run-heavier than the 53% career average (57 plays).

3rd & Short: runs it72% run — 19pp run-heavier than the 53% career average (47 plays).

Up Big: runs it68% run — 15pp run-heavier than the 53% career average (163 plays).

By Down

1st Down

63% R

+0.16n=345

2nd Down

54% P

+0.20n=248

3rd Down

56% P

+0.49n=145

4th Down

63% P

+0.90n=24

3rd Down by Distance

Short (1-3)

72% R

+0.74n=47

Medium (4-6)

69% P

+0.46n=39

Long (7-9)

70% P

+0.14n=27

Very Long (10+)

69% P

+0.46n=32

Field Zone

Own Territory

51% R

+0.30n=487

Midfield

53% P

+0.13n=154

Red Zone

66% R

+0.09n=64

Goal Line

77% R

+0.44n=57

Game Script

Up Big

68% R

+0.35n=163

Up Close

58% R

+0.39n=123

Tied

51% P

+0.19n=90

Down Close

53% R

+0.28n=204

Down Big

62% P

+0.11n=182

Quick Stats

2-Min Drill

60% P

+0.1045%n=104

After Big Gain

60% R

+0.1452%n=96

Inside Opp 40

57% R

+0.1855%n=275

Middle 8

52% P

+0.4063%n=112

Post-Event Reactions

Big Gain (15+)

60% R

+0.14n=96

Big Gain (20+)

61% R

+0.31n=57

Sack

57% P

-0.00n=14

Negative Play

54% P

+0.08n=50

Stuffed Run

50% R

+0.35n=52

1st Down Tendency

63% R

+0.16n=345

Drive Openers by Zone

Own Territory

67% R

+0.39n=126

Predictability Index

Red Zoneruns 66%

When Trailing Bigpasses 62%

After Big Gainruns 60%

2-Minute Drillpasses 60%

Overall Tendencyruns 53%

Advanced Intel

Tempo29.7s avg / 35.0s median

Explosive7.4% rush / 18.7% pass

1st Half Opening Drive55% pass (n=71)

2nd Half Opening Drive52% run (n=77)

Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →