OC Tendencies scouting report · November 9, 2026
Graham Harrell
OC · Purdue · Big Ten · 3,733 plays tracked
46%
Run %
54%
Pass %
+0.21
EPA per play
Purdue 2023–2024West Virginia 2022–2022USC 2019–2021
Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)
Balanced attack46% run / 54% pass over 3,733 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Long: throws it87% pass — 32pp more pass-oriented than the 54% career average (149 plays).
Goal Line: runs it61% run — 16pp run-heavier than the 46% career average (293 plays).
Up Big: runs it56% run — 10pp run-heavier than the 46% career average (426 plays).
By down
1st down+0.07n=1654
51% P
2nd down+0.21n=1210
51% P
3rd down+0.46n=765
67% P
4th down+0.55n=104
63% P
3rd down by distance
Short (1-3)+0.48n=227
68% R
Medium (4-6)+0.69n=195
79% P
Long (7-9)+0.39n=149
87% P
Very Long (10+)+0.28n=194
81% P
Field zone
Own Territory+0.26n=2482
56% P
Midfield-0.01n=669
54% P
Red Zone+0.08n=289
56% P
Goal Line+0.42n=293
61% R
Game script
Up Big+0.36n=426
56% R
Up Close+0.18n=308
51% P
Tied+0.15n=638
54% P
Down Close+0.17n=867
56% P
Down Big+0.21n=1494
57% P
Quick stats
2-Min Drill+0.2548%n=508
59% P
After Big Gain+0.1552%n=399
50% P
After Sack+0.1733%n=98
58% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1146%n=1251
51% P
Middle 8+0.2048%n=705
56% P
Post-event reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.15n=399
50% P
Big Gain (20+)+0.09n=232
50% R
Sack+0.17n=98
58% P
Negative Play+0.31n=290
62% P
Stuffed Run+0.40n=295
62% P
1st Down Tendency+0.07n=1654
51% P
Drive openers by zone
Own Territory+0.10n=588
56% R
Midfield+0.11n=41
56% P
Red Zone-0.47n=11
55% P
Goal Line+0.27n=9
78% R
Run/pass imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 87%
2-Minute Drillpasses 59%
After Sackpasses 58%
When Trailing Bigpasses 57%
Red zone (11–20 yds)passes 56%
Advanced intel
Tempo25.7s avg / 26.1s median
Explosive6.3% rush / 14.7% pass
1st Half Opening Drive61% pass (n=314)
2nd Half Opening Drive53% pass (n=346)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →