OC Tendencies Scouting Report · September 10, 2026
Graham Harrell
OC · West Virginia · Big 12 · 6,135 plays tracked
Run%
44%
Pass%
56%
EPA/Play
+0.23
West Virginia 2023–2024Purdue 2023–2024North Carolina 2022–2022West Virginia 2022–2022USC 2020–2021USC 2019–2021
Key Findings
Balanced attack44% run / 56% pass over 6,135 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it88% pass — 32pp more pass-oriented than the 56% career average (255 plays).
Goal Line: runs it59% run — 14pp run-heavier than the 44% career average (515 plays).
Up Big: runs it53% run — 9pp run-heavier than the 44% career average (797 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.09n=2738
52% P
2nd Down+0.21n=1984
52% P
3rd Down+0.52n=1244
68% P
4th Down+0.66n=169
60% P
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.57n=361
66% R
Medium (4-6)+0.71n=320
76% P
Long (7-9)+0.42n=255
88% P
Very Long (10+)+0.36n=308
82% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.28n=3966
57% P
Midfield+0.02n=1132
55% P
Red Zone+0.11n=522
58% P
Goal Line+0.41n=515
59% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.37n=797
53% R
Up Close+0.27n=755
53% P
Tied+0.17n=985
56% P
Down Close+0.18n=1519
58% P
Down Big+0.22n=2079
58% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.2548%n=833
60% P
After Big Gain+0.2030%n=686
51% P
After Sack+0.2719%n=165
64% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1347%n=2169
52% P
Middle 8+0.2249%n=1114
60% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.20n=686
51% P
Big Gain (20+)+0.17n=406
53% P
Sack+0.27n=165
64% P
Negative Play+0.33n=461
64% P
Stuffed Run+0.38n=464
61% P
1st Down Tendency+0.09n=2738
52% P
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.14n=934
54% R
Midfield+0.06n=75
59% P
Red Zone-0.26n=18
61% P
Goal Line+0.16n=13
77% R
Run/Pass Imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 88%
After Sackpasses 64%
2-Minute Drillpasses 60%
When Trailing Bigpasses 58%
Red Zonepasses 58%
Advanced Intel
Tempo25.7s avg / 26.1s median
Explosive6.3% rush / 14.7% pass
1st Half Opening Drive61% pass (n=314)
2nd Half Opening Drive53% pass (n=346)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →