OC Tendencies Scouting Report · April 30, 2026
Brad Glenn
OC · Cincinnati · Big 12 · 2,417 plays tracked
Run%
52%
Pass%
48%
EPA/Play
+0.27
Cincinnati 2023–2025
Key Findings
Balanced attack52% run / 48% pass over 2,417 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it77% pass — 29pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (99 plays).
After Stuffed Run: throws it57% pass — 9pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (191 plays).
2-Min Drill: throws it56% pass — 8pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (391 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.13n=1084
57% R
2nd Down+0.27n=799
51% R
3rd Down+0.60n=460
58% P
4th Down+0.45n=74
59% R
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.49n=120
72% R
Medium (4-6)+0.67n=122
61% P
Long (7-9)+0.50n=99
77% P
Very Long (10+)+0.72n=119
69% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.32n=1638
52% R
Midfield+0.03n=452
52% R
Red Zone+0.24n=174
55% R
Goal Line+0.56n=153
55% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.39n=571
57% R
Up Close+0.29n=342
52% R
Tied+0.21n=387
55% R
Down Close+0.25n=485
53% R
Down Big+0.22n=632
55% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.1548%n=391
56% P
After Big Gain+0.1850%n=284
60% R
After Sack+0.7948%n=48
52% R
Inside Opp 40+0.1849%n=779
54% R
Middle 8+0.1347%n=441
55% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.18n=284
60% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.20n=167
62% R
Sack+0.79n=48
52% R
Negative Play+0.57n=166
57% P
Stuffed Run+0.34n=191
57% P
1st Down Tendency+0.13n=1084
57% R
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.16n=390
61% R
Midfield-0.04n=11
73% R
Red Zone-0.02n=3
100% R
Goal Line-0.10n=5
60% R
Predictability Index
3rd & Longpasses 77%
Defenses will prepare for this
After Big Gainruns 60%
2-Minute Drillpasses 56%
Red Zoneruns 55%
When Trailing Bigpasses 55%
Advanced Intel
Tempo27.2s avg / 30.0s median
Explosive8.4% rush / 15.5% pass
1st Half Opening Drive60% run (n=211)
2nd Half Opening Drive54% run (n=213)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →