OC Tendencies Scouting Report · September 13, 2026
Brad Glenn
OC · Cincinnati · Big 12 · 2,406 plays tracked
Run%
52%
Pass%
48%
EPA/Play
+0.28
Cincinnati 2023–2025
Key Findings
Balanced attack52% run / 48% pass over 2,406 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it77% pass — 29pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (99 plays).
After Stuffed Run: throws it59% pass — 11pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (183 plays).
2-Min Drill: throws it58% pass — 10pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (380 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.13n=1075
56% R
2nd Down+0.28n=797
51% R
3rd Down+0.60n=460
58% P
4th Down+0.45n=74
59% R
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.49n=120
72% R
Medium (4-6)+0.67n=122
61% P
Long (7-9)+0.50n=99
77% P
Very Long (10+)+0.72n=119
69% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.32n=1632
51% R
Midfield+0.04n=450
52% R
Red Zone+0.25n=173
55% R
Goal Line+0.57n=151
54% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.32n=548
57% R
Up Close+0.24n=328
53% R
Tied+0.27n=396
54% R
Down Close+0.26n=488
54% R
Down Big+0.28n=646
55% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.1749%n=380
58% P
After Big Gain+0.1851%n=283
59% R
After Sack+0.7948%n=48
52% R
Inside Opp 40+0.1949%n=774
53% R
Middle 8+0.1448%n=437
56% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.18n=283
59% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.21n=166
62% R
Sack+0.79n=48
52% R
Negative Play+0.59n=161
59% P
Stuffed Run+0.37n=183
59% P
1st Down Tendency+0.13n=1075
56% R
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.17n=385
60% R
Midfield-0.04n=11
73% R
Red Zone-0.02n=3
100% R
Goal Line-0.10n=5
60% R
Run/Pass Imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 77%
After Big Gainruns 59%
2-Minute Drillpasses 58%
Red Zoneruns 55%
When Trailing Bigpasses 55%
Advanced Intel
Tempo27.2s avg / 30.0s median
Explosive8.5% rush / 15.5% pass
1st Half Opening Drive60% run (n=211)
2nd Half Opening Drive54% run (n=213)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →