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Utah 2026 · Game prep sheet · October 28, 2026

Eric Morris

Oklahoma State · Big 12 · 3,612 plays tracked

Efficiency

3rd of 27

among the FBS OCs we track

Biggest run/pass imbalances

3rd & Longpasses 75%
After Sackpasses 72%
When Trailing Bigpasses 65%
Red zone (11–20 yds)passes 60%
Overall Tendencypasses 58%

Utah defense matchup: Scalley-era proxy (2020–25)

Utah's 2026 defense is called by first-year DC Colton Swan (linebackers coach in this system, 2019–25). We have no play-calling history for him, so this compares against what offenses ran on Morgan Scalley's defenses, side by side with no verdict. Descriptive, not a tested prediction.

Overall Run/Pass
Their OC: runs 42%Utah D (2020–25): opponents run 45% vs Utah
3rd & Long
Their OC: passes 75%, 35% success rateUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 80% vs Utah
Red zone (11–20 yds)
Their OC: runs 40%Utah D (2020–25): opponents run 49% vs Utah
Score: Trailing
Their OC: passes 65% when trailingUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 58% when trailing
After Big Play
Their OC: runs 45% after big gainUtah D (2020–25): opponents run 49% after big gain
2-Min Drill
Their OC: passes 55% in 2-minUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 60% in 2-min

Ranking among the FBS OCs we track (descriptive)

Efficiency (EPA/play)3rd of 27
Inside the 20 (EPA/play)8th of 23
3rd-down success11th of 25

1st = best. 2020–2025 FBS data only; describes the past, not a tested prediction.

Situational tendencies

Red Zone
53% success60% passn=295
3rd & Long
35% success75% passn=131
2-Min Drill
45% success55% passn=523
After Big Gain
54% success55% passn=521
When Trailing Big
46% success65% passn=831
Drive Opener (Own Territory)
51% success51% runn=576
Goal Line
50% success58% runn=300

Advanced intel

Tempo (avg pace)24.8s avg
Explosive plays9.8% rush / 18.3% pass

Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)

Pass-first offense

58% pass rate over 3,612 plays (2020–2025).

Garbage Time: runs it

70% run — 27pp run-heavier than the 42% career average (198 plays).

3rd & Short: runs it

62% run — 20pp run-heavier than the 42% career average (177 plays).

Goal Line: runs it

58% run — 15pp run-heavier than the 42% career average (300 plays).