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TCU Horned Frogs

TCU Horned Frogs

Big 12P4

2025-26 drought profile · 34 games played · 23-11 (68%)

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TCU Horned Frogs ranks 8th of 16 Big 12 teams in droughts per game (1.29 dpg, above the Big 12 average of 1.27). Their droughts average 3:55 (near the Big 12 norm) and have allowed opponents an average of 7.2 pts per drought, contributing to 7 influenced losses (3 decisive/major) in 2025-26.

Drought profile

1.29

Droughts/game

Conf avg: 1.3 · #8 of 16 in Big 12

8th in Big 12

+0.02/game vs Big 12 avg

#8 in Big 12 (16 teams)

3:55

Avg duration

Conf avg: 3:53 · #11 of 16 in Big 12

+0:03 vs Big 12 avg

How long cold streaks typically last

7.2

Avg drought cost

Conf avg: 7.4 · #6 of 16 in Big 12

-0.2 pts vs Big 12 avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game impact

7

Influenced losses

3 decisive/major: close losses where droughts swung the margin

32%

Timeout rate

Coach called a timeout in 14 of 44 droughts

7-8

Record w/ 2+ droughts

vs 16-3 in games with 0 to 1 droughts

Drought trend, 2025-26

Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.3 droughts/game.

When droughts happen

Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 44 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.

Half breakdown

1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?

1st half
28
droughts · avg 3:55
2nd half
16
droughts · avg 3:56

Drought cost by severity

How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points. See if critical ones truly hurt more.

Notable (3–4 min)
29
66% of droughts
6.8 pts drought cost
Significant (4–5 min)
12
27% of droughts
8.2 pts drought cost
Critical (5+ min)
3
7% of droughts
7.3 pts drought cost

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.8 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
8.2 pts
Critical (5+ min)
7.3 pts

Key takeaway

Significant droughts allow 21% more points than notable ones (8.2 vs 6.8 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-ending shots

What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.

3-PT(23%)2-PT(57%)FT(20%)
3-pointer (10, 23%)2-pointer (25, 57%)FT (9, 20%)

Score differential by game

Every game plotted over 40 minutes: positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.

Mar 21
Duke Blue Devils@ Duke Blue Devils
L 58–81
Mar 19
Ohio State Buckeyes@ Ohio State Buckeyes
W 66–64
Mar 12
Kansas Jayhawks@ Kansas Jayhawks
L 73–78
Mar 11
Oklahoma State Cowboysvs Oklahoma State Cowboys
W 95–88
Mar 7
Cincinnati Bearcatsvs Cincinnati Bearcats
W 73–63
Mar 3
Texas Tech Red Raiders@ Texas Tech Red Raiders
W 73–65
Feb 28
Kansas State Wildcats@ Kansas State Wildcats
W 77–68
Feb 24
Arizona State Sun Devilsvs Arizona State Sun Devils
W 90–78
Feb 21
West Virginia Mountaineersvs West Virginia Mountaineers
W 60–54
Feb 17
UCF Knights@ UCF Knights
L 71–82
Feb 14
Oklahoma State Cowboys@ Oklahoma State Cowboys
W 95–92
Feb 10
Iowa State Cyclonesvs Iowa State Cyclones
W 62–55
Feb 7
Kansas State Wildcatsvs Kansas State Wildcats
W 84–82
Feb 1
Colorado Buffaloes@ Colorado Buffaloes
L 61–87
Jan 28
Houston Cougarsvs Houston Cougars
L 70–79
Jan 24
Baylor Bears@ Baylor Bears
W 97–90
Jan 20
Oklahoma State Cowboysvs Oklahoma State Cowboys
W 68–65
Jan 17
Utah Utes@ Utah Utes
L 79–82
Jan 14
BYU Cougars@ BYU Cougars
L 70–76
Jan 10
Arizona Wildcatsvs Arizona Wildcats
L 73–86
Jan 6
Kansas Jayhawks@ Kansas Jayhawks
L 100–104
Jan 3
Baylor Bearsvs Baylor Bears
W 69–63
Dec 29
Jackson State Tigersvs Jackson State Tigers
W 115–64
Dec 21
Florida A&M Rattlersvs Florida A&M Rattlers
W 80–56
Dec 18
Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesvs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles
W 72–53
Dec 15
Incarnate Word Cardinalsvs Incarnate Word Cardinals
W 69–65
Dec 7
North Texas Mean Green@ North Texas Mean Green
W 65–55
Dec 5
Notre Dame Fighting Irishvs Notre Dame Fighting Irish
L 85–87
Nov 28
Wisconsin Badgersvs Wisconsin Badgers
W 74–63
Nov 27
Florida Gators@ Florida Gators
W 84–80
Nov 19
Kansas City Roosvs Kansas City Roos
W 81–45
Nov 14
Michigan Wolverinesvs Michigan Wolverines
L 63–67
Nov 10
Lamar Cardinalsvs Lamar Cardinals
W 78–65
Nov 6
Saint Francis Red Flashvs Saint Francis Red Flash
W 104–63
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →

Game log

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 21Duke Blue Devils@ Duke Blue DevilsL 81-58
2
Mar 19Ohio State Buckeyes@ Ohio State BuckeyesW 64-66
2
Mar 12Kansas Jayhawks@ Kansas JayhawksL 78-73
2
Mar 11Oklahoma State Cowboysvs Oklahoma State CowboysW 95-880
Mar 7Cincinnati Bearcatsvs Cincinnati BearcatsW 73-630
Mar 3Texas Tech Red Raiders@ Texas Tech Red RaidersW 65-73
1
Feb 28Kansas State Wildcats@ Kansas State WildcatsW 68-770
Feb 24Arizona State Sun Devilsvs Arizona State Sun DevilsW 90-78
1
Feb 21West Virginia Mountaineersvs West Virginia MountaineersW 60-54
2
Feb 17UCF Knights@ UCF KnightsL 82-71
2
Feb 14Oklahoma State Cowboys@ Oklahoma State CowboysW 92-95
1
Feb 10Iowa State Cyclonesvs Iowa State CyclonesW 62-55
3
Feb 7Kansas State Wildcatsvs Kansas State WildcatsW 84-82
1
Feb 1Colorado Buffaloes@ Colorado BuffaloesL 87-61
2
Jan 28Houston Cougarsvs Houston CougarsL 70-79
2
Jan 24Baylor Bears@ Baylor BearsW 90-97
1
Jan 20Oklahoma State Cowboysvs Oklahoma State CowboysW 68-65
3
Jan 17Utah Utes@ Utah UtesL 82-790
Jan 14BYU Cougars@ BYU CougarsL 76-70
3
Jan 10Arizona Wildcatsvs Arizona WildcatsL 73-860
Jan 6Kansas Jayhawks@ Kansas JayhawksL 104-100
1
Jan 3Baylor Bearsvs Baylor BearsW 69-63
1
Dec 29Jackson State Tigersvs Jackson State TigersW 115-640
Dec 21Florida A&M Rattlersvs Florida A&M RattlersW 80-56
2
Dec 18Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesvs Oral Roberts Golden EaglesW 72-530
Dec 15Incarnate Word Cardinalsvs Incarnate Word CardinalsW 69-65
2
Dec 7North Texas Mean Green@ North Texas Mean GreenW 55-650
Dec 5Notre Dame Fighting Irishvs Notre Dame Fighting IrishL 85-87
3
Nov 28Wisconsin Badgersvs Wisconsin BadgersW 74-63
2
Nov 27Florida Gators@ Florida GatorsW 80-84
1
Nov 19Kansas City Roosvs Kansas City RoosW 81-45
1
Nov 14Michigan Wolverinesvs Michigan WolverinesL 63-67
2
Nov 10Lamar Cardinalsvs Lamar CardinalsW 78-65
1
Nov 6Saint Francis Red Flashvs Saint Francis Red FlashW 104-630

Drought-influenced losses

Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Drought cost" = points the opponent scores during a drought.

BYU Cougars@ BYU CougarsL 70-76Jan 14
24 pts allowed during 3 droughts (31.6% of 6-pt margin)
Major Factor
Houston Cougarsvs Houston CougarsL 70-79Jan 28
20 pts allowed during 2 droughts (25.3% of 9-pt margin)
Major Factor
Kansas Jayhawks@ Kansas JayhawksL 73-78Mar 12
20 pts allowed during 2 droughts (25.6% of 5-pt margin)
Major Factor
Notre Dame Fighting Irishvs Notre Dame Fighting IrishL 85-87Dec 5
19 pts allowed during 3 droughts (21.8% of 2-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Michigan Wolverinesvs Michigan WolverinesL 63-67Nov 14
16 pts allowed during 2 droughts (23.9% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
UCF Knights@ UCF KnightsL 71-82Feb 17
13 pts allowed during 2 droughts (15.9% of 11-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Kansas Jayhawks@ Kansas JayhawksL 100-104Jan 6
9 pts allowed during 1 drought (8.7% of 4-pt margin)
Minor Factor

Drought killers

Players who most often ended TCU Horned Frogs scoring droughts in 2025-26.

1
DP
David Punch
36% clutchⓘ
11
2
JP
Jayden Pierre
50% clutchⓘ
10
3
MR
Micah Robinson
33% clutchⓘ
6
4
TT
Tanner Toolson
40% clutchⓘ
5
5
XE
Xavier Edmonds
0% clutchⓘ
5
6
LL
Liutauras Lelevicius
67% clutchⓘ
3
7
BH
Brock Harding
2
3PT
2PT
FT