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Sacramento State Hornets

Sacramento State Hornets

Big SkyOTHER

2025-26 Drought Profile · 19 games played · 10-21 (32%)

Sacramento State Hornets ranks 8th of 10 Big Sky teams in droughts per game (1.74 dpg, above the Big Sky average of 1.69). Their droughts average 3:48 — 0:06 below the Big Sky norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 7.5 pts per drought, contributing to 7 influenced losses (2 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.74

Conf avg: 1.7 · #8 of 10 in Big Sky

8th in Big Sky

+0.05/game vs Big Sky avg

#8 in Big Sky (10 teams)

Avg Duration

3:48

Conf avg: 232.6 · #4 of 10 in Big Sky

-0:06 vs Big Sky avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

7.5

Conf avg: 7.4 · #7 of 10 in Big Sky

+0.2 pts vs Big Sky avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

7

2 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

39%

Coach called a timeout in 13 of 33 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

1-9

vs 9-12 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.7 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 33 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
21
droughts · avg 3:50
2nd Half
12
droughts · avg 3:43
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
25
76% of droughts
7.4 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
7
21% of droughts
7 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
1
3% of droughts
15 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
7.4 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
7 pts
Critical (5+ min)
15 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 114% more points than significant ones (15 vs 7 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(30%)2-PT(55%)FT(15%)
3-Ptr (10, 30%)2-Ptr (18, 55%)FT (5, 15%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 7
Idaho Vandals@ Idaho Vandals
L 45–68
Mar 2
Idaho State Bengalsvs Idaho State Bengals
W 83–65
Feb 28
Montana State Bobcats@ Montana State Bobcats
L 61–82
Feb 26
Montana Grizzlies@ Montana Grizzlies
L 73–81
Feb 21
Idaho Vandalsvs Idaho Vandals
L 80–86
Feb 19
Eastern Washington Eaglesvs Eastern Washington Eagles
L 94–102
Feb 14
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks@ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
L 74–79
Feb 12
Northern Colorado Bears@ Northern Colorado Bears
L 79–95
Feb 7
Portland State Vikingsvs Portland State Vikings
L 73–74
Feb 2
Weber State Wildcatsvs Weber State Wildcats
W 104–90
Jan 31
Montana Grizzliesvs Montana Grizzlies
W 86–79
Jan 29
Montana State Bobcatsvs Montana State Bobcats
W 83–80
Jan 24
Eastern Washington Eagles@ Eastern Washington Eagles
L 67–75
Jan 22
Idaho Vandals@ Idaho Vandals
L 76–86
Jan 17
Northern Colorado Bearsvs Northern Colorado Bears
W 93–89
Jan 15
Northern Arizona Lumberjacksvs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
W 83–69
Jan 10
Portland State Vikings@ Portland State Vikings
L 69–96
Jan 3
Weber State Wildcats@ Weber State Wildcats
L 82–95
Jan 1
Idaho State Bengals@ Idaho State Bengals
L 84–97
Dec 22
Cal State Northridge Matadors@ Cal State Northridge Matadors
L 88–100
Dec 20
California Baptist Lancers@ California Baptist Lancers
L 67–74
Dec 2
Baylor Bears@ Baylor Bears
L 88–110
Nov 29
Pacific Tigers@ Pacific Tigers
L 54–68
Nov 25
vs San Francisco State Gators
W 94–46
Nov 21
California Golden Bears@ California Golden Bears
L 67–91
Nov 18
UCLA Bruins@ UCLA Bruins
L 48–79
Nov 16
Presbyterian Blue Hosevs Presbyterian Blue Hose
W 64–62
Nov 14
UC Davis Aggies@ UC Davis Aggies
L 73–77
Nov 11
UC Santa Barbara Gauchosvs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
L 87–92
Nov 7
vs Jessup University Warriors
W 86–76
Nov 4
vs Dominican (CA) Penguins
W 103–79
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 7Idaho Vandals@ Idaho VandalsL 68-45
2
Mar 2Idaho State Bengalsvs Idaho State Bengals
1
Feb 28Montana State Bobcats@ Montana State BobcatsL 82-61
3
Feb 26Montana Grizzlies@ Montana GrizzliesL 81-730
Feb 21Idaho Vandalsvs Idaho VandalsL 80-86
1
Feb 19Eastern Washington Eaglesvs Eastern Washington EaglesL 94-102
1
Feb 14Northern Arizona Lumberjacks@ Northern Arizona LumberjacksL 79-74
1
Feb 12Northern Colorado Bears@ Northern Colorado BearsL 95-790
Feb 7Portland State Vikingsvs Portland State VikingsL 73-740
Feb 2Weber State Wildcatsvs Weber State WildcatsW 104-900
Jan 31Montana Grizzliesvs Montana GrizzliesW 86-79
2
Jan 29Montana State Bobcatsvs Montana State BobcatsW 83-800
Jan 24Eastern Washington Eagles@ Eastern Washington EaglesL 75-67
3
Jan 22Idaho Vandals@ Idaho VandalsL 86-76
2
Jan 17Northern Colorado Bearsvs Northern Colorado BearsW 93-89
1
Jan 15Northern Arizona Lumberjacksvs Northern Arizona LumberjacksW 83-69
1
Jan 10Portland State Vikings@ Portland State VikingsL 96-690
Jan 3Weber State Wildcats@ Weber State WildcatsL 95-820
Jan 1Idaho State Bengals@ Idaho State BengalsL 97-84
2
Dec 22Cal State Northridge Matadors@ Cal State Northridge MatadorsL 100-880
Dec 20California Baptist Lancers@ California Baptist LancersL 74-67
2
Dec 2Baylor Bears@ Baylor BearsL 110-880
Nov 29Pacific Tigers@ Pacific TigersL 68-54
3
Nov 25vs San Francisco State GatorsW 94-46
1
Nov 21California Golden Bears@ California Golden BearsL 91-67
3
Nov 18UCLA Bruins@ UCLA BruinsL 79-48
2
Nov 16Presbyterian Blue Hosevs Presbyterian Blue HoseW 64-62
1
Nov 14UC Davis Aggies@ UC Davis AggiesL 77-73
1
Nov 11UC Santa Barbara Gauchosvs UC Santa Barbara GauchosL 87-920
Nov 7vs Jessup University WarriorsW 86-760
Nov 4vs Dominican (CA) PenguinsW 103-790
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
Eastern Washington Eagles@ Eastern Washington EaglesL 67-75Jan 24
21 pts allowed during 3 droughts (28% of 8-pt margin)
Major Factor
California Baptist Lancers@ California Baptist LancersL 67-74Dec 20
19 pts allowed during 2 droughts (25.7% of 7-pt margin)
Major Factor
Idaho Vandals@ Idaho VandalsL 76-86Jan 22
15 pts allowed during 2 droughts (17.4% of 10-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks@ Northern Arizona LumberjacksL 74-79Feb 14
15 pts allowed during 1 drought (19% of 5-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Idaho State Bengals@ Idaho State BengalsL 84-97Jan 1
15 pts allowed during 2 droughts (15.5% of 13-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Pacific Tigers@ Pacific TigersL 54-68Nov 29
14 pts allowed during 3 droughts (20.6% of 14-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Eastern Washington Eaglesvs Eastern Washington EaglesL 94-102Feb 19
10 pts allowed during 1 drought (9.8% of 8-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Sacramento State Hornets scoring droughts this season.
1
JT
Jayden Teat
14% clutchⓘ
7
2
PJ
Prophet Johnson
0% clutchⓘ
7
3
TG
Taj Glover
17% clutchⓘ
6
4
ML
Mark Lavrenov
0% clutchⓘ
4
5
JS
Jahni Summers
67% clutchⓘ
3
6
AM
Arman Madi
2
7
RR
Romari Robinson
2
3PT
2PT
FT