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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Conference USAG5

2025-26 Drought Profile · 32 games played · 17-15 (53%)

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders ranks 8th of 12 Conference USA teams in droughts per game (1.63 dpg, above the Conference USA average of 1.45). Their droughts average 3:48 — 0:05 below the Conference USA norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 6.8 pts per drought, contributing to 7 influenced losses (4 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.63

Conf avg: 1.5 · #8 of 12 in Conference USA

8th in Conference USA

+0.18/game vs Conference USA avg

#8 in Conference USA (12 teams)

Avg Duration

3:48

Conf avg: 232.7 · #4 of 12 in Conference USA

-0:05 vs Conference USA avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

6.8

Conf avg: 7.1 · #4 of 12 in Conference USA

-0.3 pts vs Conference USA avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

7

4 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

29%

Coach called a timeout in 15 of 52 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

8-10

vs 9-5 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.6 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 52 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
31
droughts · avg 3:57
2nd Half
21
droughts · avg 3:34
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
38
73% of droughts
5.9 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
9
17% of droughts
7.7 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
5
10% of droughts
12 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
5.9 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
7.7 pts
Critical (5+ min)
12 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 103% more points than notable ones (12 vs 5.9 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(29%)2-PT(45%)FT(25%)
3-Ptr (15, 29%)2-Ptr (23, 45%)FT (13, 25%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 12
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
L 69–80
Mar 7
Missouri State Bears@ Missouri State Bears
W 75–63
Mar 5
Florida International Panthers@ Florida International Panthers
W 73–67
Feb 28
New Mexico State Aggiesvs New Mexico State Aggies
W 86–85
Feb 26
UTEP Minersvs UTEP Miners
W 77–67
Feb 21
Delaware Blue Hensvs Delaware Blue Hens
W 78–66
Feb 18
Sam Houston Bearkats@ Sam Houston Bearkats
L 70–78
Feb 14
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
L 80–82
Feb 12
Kennesaw State Owls@ Kennesaw State Owls
W 90–87
Feb 7
Delaware Blue Hens@ Delaware Blue Hens
L 88–89
Feb 4
Florida International Panthersvs Florida International Panthers
L 84–88
Jan 31
Western Kentucky Hilltoppersvs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
L 60–65
Jan 29
Liberty Flamesvs Liberty Flames
L 65–81
Jan 23
Jacksonville State Gamecocks@ Jacksonville State Gamecocks
L 58–75
Jan 17
Missouri State Bearsvs Missouri State Bears
W 90–87
Jan 14
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
L 58–59
Jan 10
New Mexico State Aggies@ New Mexico State Aggies
W 59–55
Jan 8
UTEP Miners@ UTEP Miners
L 80–83
Jan 4
Sam Houston Bearkatsvs Sam Houston Bearkats
W 68–67
Jan 2
Louisiana Tech Bulldogsvs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
W 88–51
Dec 29
Houston Cougars@ Houston Cougars
L 60–69
Dec 21
vs Cumberland (TN) Phoenix
W 74–58
Dec 17
Kennesaw State Owlsvs Kennesaw State Owls
W 68–67
Dec 7
Belmont Bruinsvs Belmont Bruins
L 62–83
Dec 1
UAB Blazersvs UAB Blazers
W 76–61
Nov 25
McNeese Cowboys@ McNeese Cowboys
L 62–72
Nov 24
George Washington Revolutionariesvs George Washington Revolutionaries
L 79–92
Nov 23
Murray State Racersvs Murray State Racers
W 90–87
Nov 19
Michigan Wolverines@ Michigan Wolverines
L 61–86
Nov 12
Evansville Purple Aces@ Evansville Purple Aces
W 77–72
Nov 8
vs Webster Gorloks
W 109–56
Nov 5
vs Milligan Buffaloes
W 100–51
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 12Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech BulldogsL 80-69
4
Mar 7Missouri State Bears@ Missouri State BearsW 63-750
Mar 5Florida International Panthers@ Florida International PanthersW 67-73
2
Feb 28New Mexico State Aggiesvs New Mexico State AggiesW 86-85
1
Feb 26UTEP Minersvs UTEP MinersW 77-670
Feb 21Delaware Blue Hensvs Delaware Blue HensW 78-66
1
Feb 18Sam Houston Bearkats@ Sam Houston BearkatsL 78-700
Feb 14Western Kentucky Hilltoppers@ Western Kentucky HilltoppersL 82-800
Feb 12Kennesaw State Owls@ Kennesaw State OwlsW 87-90
1
Feb 7Delaware Blue Hens@ Delaware Blue HensL 89-880
Feb 4Florida International Panthersvs Florida International PanthersL 84-88
3
Jan 31Western Kentucky Hilltoppersvs Western Kentucky HilltoppersL 60-65
3
Jan 29Liberty Flamesvs Liberty FlamesL 65-81
2
Jan 23Jacksonville State Gamecocks@ Jacksonville State GamecocksL 75-58
2
Jan 17Missouri State Bearsvs Missouri State BearsW 90-87
2
Jan 14Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech BulldogsL 59-58
2
Jan 10New Mexico State Aggies@ New Mexico State AggiesW 55-59
3
Jan 8UTEP Miners@ UTEP MinersL 83-80
3
Jan 4Sam Houston Bearkatsvs Sam Houston BearkatsW 68-67
2
Jan 2Louisiana Tech Bulldogsvs Louisiana Tech BulldogsW 88-51
2
Dec 29Houston Cougars@ Houston CougarsL 69-60
3
Dec 21vs Cumberland (TN) PhoenixW 74-58
1
Dec 17Kennesaw State Owlsvs Kennesaw State OwlsW 68-67
2
Dec 7Belmont Bruinsvs Belmont BruinsL 62-83
3
Dec 1UAB Blazersvs UAB BlazersW 76-61
3
Nov 25McNeese Cowboys@ McNeese CowboysL 72-62
2
Nov 24George Washington Revolutionariesvs George Washington RevolutionariesL 79-92
1
Nov 23Murray State Racersvs Murray State RacersW 90-870
Nov 19Michigan Wolverines@ Michigan WolverinesL 86-61
1
Nov 12Evansville Purple Aces@ Evansville Purple AcesW 72-77
2
Nov 8vs Webster GorloksW 109-560
Nov 5vs Milligan BuffaloesW 100-51
1
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech BulldogsL 69-80Mar 12
23 pts allowed during 4 droughts (28.8% of 11-pt margin)
Major Factor
UTEP Miners@ UTEP MinersL 80-83Jan 8
22 pts allowed during 3 droughts (26.5% of 3-pt margin)
Major Factor
Houston Cougars@ Houston CougarsL 60-69Dec 29
21 pts allowed during 3 droughts (30.4% of 9-pt margin)
Major Factor
Western Kentucky Hilltoppersvs Western Kentucky HilltoppersL 60-65Jan 31
20 pts allowed during 3 droughts (30.8% of 5-pt margin)
Major Factor
Florida International Panthersvs Florida International PanthersL 84-88Feb 4
16 pts allowed during 3 droughts (18.2% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
McNeese Cowboys@ McNeese CowboysL 62-72Nov 25
15 pts allowed during 2 droughts (20.8% of 10-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech BulldogsL 58-59Jan 14
14 pts allowed during 2 droughts (23.7% of 1-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders scoring droughts this season.
1
TA
Torey Alston
43% clutchⓘ
14
2
JC
Jahvin Carter
50% clutchⓘ
8
3
CL
Chris Loofe
57% clutchⓘ
7
4
SS
Sean Smith
50% clutchⓘ
6
5
KL
Kamari Lands
17% clutchⓘ
6
6
TG
Tre Green
40% clutchⓘ
5
7
AO
Alec Oglesby
67% clutchⓘ
3
8
LJ
Luka Jovanovic
2
3PT
2PT
FT