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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Conference USAG5

2025-26 drought profile · 32 games played · 17-15 (53%)

Compare vs another team

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders ranks 8th of 10 Conference USA teams in droughts per game (1.63 dpg, above the Conference USA average of 1.36). Their droughts average 3:48 (0:08 below the Conference USA norm) and have allowed opponents an average of 6.8 pts per drought, contributing to 7 influenced losses (4 decisive/major) in 2025-26.

Drought profile

1.63

Droughts/game

Conf avg: 1.4 · #8 of 10 in Conference USA

8th in Conference USA

+0.27/game vs Conference USA avg

#8 in Conference USA (10 teams)

3:48

Avg duration

Conf avg: 3:55 · #2 of 10 in Conference USA

-0:08 vs Conference USA avg

How long cold streaks typically last

6.8

Avg drought cost

Conf avg: 7.2 · #3 of 10 in Conference USA

-0.4 pts vs Conference USA avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game impact

7

Influenced losses

4 decisive/major: close losses where droughts swung the margin

29%

Timeout rate

Coach called a timeout in 15 of 52 droughts

8-10

Record w/ 2+ droughts

vs 9-5 in games with 0 to 1 droughts

Drought trend, 2025-26

Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.6 droughts/game.

When droughts happen

Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 52 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.

Half breakdown

1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?

1st half
31
droughts · avg 3:57
2nd half
21
droughts · avg 3:34

Drought cost by severity

How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points. See if critical ones truly hurt more.

Notable (3–4 min)
38
73% of droughts
5.9 pts drought cost
Significant (4–5 min)
9
17% of droughts
7.7 pts drought cost
Critical (5+ min)
5
10% of droughts
12 pts drought cost

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
5.9 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
7.7 pts
Critical (5+ min)
12 pts

Key takeaway

Critical droughts allow 103% more points than notable ones (12 vs 5.9 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-ending shots

What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.

3-PT(29%)2-PT(45%)FT(25%)
3-pointer (15, 29%)2-pointer (23, 45%)FT (13, 25%)

Score differential by game

Every game plotted over 40 minutes: positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.

Mar 12
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
L 69–80
Mar 7
Missouri State Bears@ Missouri State Bears
W 75–63
Mar 5
Florida International Panthers@ Florida International Panthers
W 73–67
Feb 28
New Mexico State Aggiesvs New Mexico State Aggies
W 86–85
Feb 26
UTEP Minersvs UTEP Miners
W 77–67
Feb 21
Delaware Blue Hensvs Delaware Blue Hens
W 78–66
Feb 18
Sam Houston Bearkats@ Sam Houston Bearkats
L 70–78
Feb 14
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
L 80–82
Feb 12
Kennesaw State Owls@ Kennesaw State Owls
W 90–87
Feb 7
Delaware Blue Hens@ Delaware Blue Hens
L 88–89
Feb 4
Florida International Panthersvs Florida International Panthers
L 84–88
Jan 31
Western Kentucky Hilltoppersvs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
L 60–65
Jan 29
Liberty Flamesvs Liberty Flames
L 65–81
Jan 23
Jacksonville State Gamecocks@ Jacksonville State Gamecocks
L 58–75
Jan 17
Missouri State Bearsvs Missouri State Bears
W 90–87
Jan 14
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
L 58–59
Jan 10
New Mexico State Aggies@ New Mexico State Aggies
W 59–55
Jan 8
UTEP Miners@ UTEP Miners
L 80–83
Jan 4
Sam Houston Bearkatsvs Sam Houston Bearkats
W 68–67
Jan 2
Louisiana Tech Bulldogsvs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
W 88–51
Dec 29
Houston Cougars@ Houston Cougars
L 60–69
Dec 21
vs Cumberland (TN) Phoenix
W 74–58
Dec 17
Kennesaw State Owlsvs Kennesaw State Owls
W 68–67
Dec 7
Belmont Bruinsvs Belmont Bruins
L 62–83
Dec 1
UAB Blazersvs UAB Blazers
W 76–61
Nov 25
McNeese Cowboys@ McNeese Cowboys
L 62–72
Nov 24
George Washington Revolutionariesvs George Washington Revolutionaries
L 79–92
Nov 23
Murray State Racersvs Murray State Racers
W 90–87
Nov 19
Michigan Wolverines@ Michigan Wolverines
L 61–86
Nov 12
Evansville Purple Aces@ Evansville Purple Aces
W 77–72
Nov 8
vs Webster Gorloks
W 109–56
Nov 5
vs Milligan Buffaloes
W 100–51
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →

Game log

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 12Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech BulldogsL 80-69
4
Mar 7Missouri State Bears@ Missouri State BearsW 63-750
Mar 5Florida International Panthers@ Florida International PanthersW 67-73
2
Feb 28New Mexico State Aggiesvs New Mexico State AggiesW 86-85
1
Feb 26UTEP Minersvs UTEP MinersW 77-670
Feb 21Delaware Blue Hensvs Delaware Blue HensW 78-66
1
Feb 18Sam Houston Bearkats@ Sam Houston BearkatsL 78-700
Feb 14Western Kentucky Hilltoppers@ Western Kentucky HilltoppersL 82-800
Feb 12Kennesaw State Owls@ Kennesaw State OwlsW 87-90
1
Feb 7Delaware Blue Hens@ Delaware Blue HensL 89-880
Feb 4Florida International Panthersvs Florida International PanthersL 84-88
3
Jan 31Western Kentucky Hilltoppersvs Western Kentucky HilltoppersL 60-65
3
Jan 29Liberty Flamesvs Liberty FlamesL 65-81
2
Jan 23Jacksonville State Gamecocks@ Jacksonville State GamecocksL 75-58
2
Jan 17Missouri State Bearsvs Missouri State BearsW 90-87
2
Jan 14Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech BulldogsL 59-58
2
Jan 10New Mexico State Aggies@ New Mexico State AggiesW 55-59
3
Jan 8UTEP Miners@ UTEP MinersL 83-80
3
Jan 4Sam Houston Bearkatsvs Sam Houston BearkatsW 68-67
2
Jan 2Louisiana Tech Bulldogsvs Louisiana Tech BulldogsW 88-51
2
Dec 29Houston Cougars@ Houston CougarsL 69-60
3
Dec 21vs Cumberland (TN) PhoenixW 74-58
1
Dec 17Kennesaw State Owlsvs Kennesaw State OwlsW 68-67
2
Dec 7Belmont Bruinsvs Belmont BruinsL 62-83
3
Dec 1UAB Blazersvs UAB BlazersW 76-61
3
Nov 25McNeese Cowboys@ McNeese CowboysL 72-62
2
Nov 24George Washington Revolutionariesvs George Washington RevolutionariesL 79-92
1
Nov 23Murray State Racersvs Murray State RacersW 90-870
Nov 19Michigan Wolverines@ Michigan WolverinesL 86-61
1
Nov 12Evansville Purple Aces@ Evansville Purple AcesW 72-77
2
Nov 8vs Webster GorloksW 109-560
Nov 5vs Milligan BuffaloesW 100-51
1

Drought-influenced losses

Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Drought cost" = points the opponent scores during a drought.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech BulldogsL 69-80Mar 12
23 pts allowed during 4 droughts (28.8% of 11-pt margin)
Major Factor
UTEP Miners@ UTEP MinersL 80-83Jan 8
22 pts allowed during 3 droughts (26.5% of 3-pt margin)
Major Factor
Houston Cougars@ Houston CougarsL 60-69Dec 29
21 pts allowed during 3 droughts (30.4% of 9-pt margin)
Major Factor
Western Kentucky Hilltoppersvs Western Kentucky HilltoppersL 60-65Jan 31
20 pts allowed during 3 droughts (30.8% of 5-pt margin)
Major Factor
Florida International Panthersvs Florida International PanthersL 84-88Feb 4
16 pts allowed during 3 droughts (18.2% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
McNeese Cowboys@ McNeese CowboysL 62-72Nov 25
15 pts allowed during 2 droughts (20.8% of 10-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech BulldogsL 58-59Jan 14
14 pts allowed during 2 droughts (23.7% of 1-pt margin)
Significant Factor

Drought killers

Players who most often ended Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders scoring droughts in 2025-26.

1
TA
Torey Alston
43% clutchⓘ
14
2
JC
Jahvin Carter
50% clutchⓘ
8
3
CL
Chris Loofe
57% clutchⓘ
7
4
SS
Sean Smith
50% clutchⓘ
6
5
KL
Kamari Lands
17% clutchⓘ
6
6
TG
Tre Green
40% clutchⓘ
5
7
AO
Alec Oglesby
67% clutchⓘ
3
8
LJ
Luka Jovanovic
2
3PT
2PT
FT