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Colorado Buffaloes

Colorado Buffaloes

Big 12P4

2025-26 Drought Profile · 25 games played · 16-16 (50%)

Colorado Buffaloes ranks 12th of 16 Big 12 teams in droughts per game (1.88 dpg, above the Big 12 average of 1.72). Their droughts average 3:37 — 0:17 below the Big 12 norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 7.7 pts per drought, contributing to 6 influenced losses (1 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.88

Conf avg: 1.7 · #12 of 16 in Big 12

12th in Big 12

+0.16/game vs Big 12 avg

#12 in Big 12 (16 teams)

Avg Duration

3:37

Conf avg: 232.6 · #1 of 16 in Big 12

-0:17 vs Big 12 avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

7.7

Conf avg: 7.4 · #10 of 16 in Big 12

+0.2 pts vs Big 12 avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

6

1 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

23%

Coach called a timeout in 11 of 47 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

6-8

vs 10-8 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.9 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 47 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
30
droughts · avg 3:36
2nd Half
17
droughts · avg 3:40
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
37
79% of droughts
6.7 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
8
17% of droughts
9.9 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
2
4% of droughts
16 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.7 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
9.9 pts
Critical (5+ min)
16 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 139% more points than notable ones (16 vs 6.7 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(6%)2-PT(57%)FT(36%)
3-Ptr (3, 6%)2-Ptr (27, 57%)FT (17, 36%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Apr 1
Oklahoma Soonersvs Oklahoma Sooners
L 86–90
Mar 10
Oklahoma State Cowboysvs Oklahoma State Cowboys
L 83–92
Mar 7
Arizona Wildcatsvs Arizona Wildcats
L 79–89
Mar 3
Utah Utes@ Utah Utes
W 92–78
Feb 28
Houston Cougars@ Houston Cougars
L 62–102
Feb 25
Kansas State Wildcatsvs Kansas State Wildcats
W 79–70
Feb 21
Oklahoma State Cowboysvs Oklahoma State Cowboys
W 83–69
Feb 14
BYU Cougars@ BYU Cougars
L 86–90
Feb 11
Texas Tech Red Raiders@ Texas Tech Red Raiders
L 44–78
Feb 7
Arizona State Sun Devilsvs Arizona State Sun Devils
W 78–70
Feb 4
Baylor Bears@ Baylor Bears
L 67–86
Feb 1
TCU Horned Frogsvs TCU Horned Frogs
W 87–61
Jan 29
Iowa State Cyclones@ Iowa State Cyclones
L 67–97
Jan 24
UCF Knightsvs UCF Knights
L 86–95
Jan 20
Kansas Jayhawksvs Kansas Jayhawks
L 69–75
Jan 17
West Virginia Mountaineers@ West Virginia Mountaineers
L 61–72
Jan 14
Cincinnati Bearcats@ Cincinnati Bearcats
L 68–77
Jan 10
Texas Tech Red Raidersvs Texas Tech Red Raiders
L 71–73
Jan 7
Utah Utesvs Utah Utes
W 85–73
Jan 3
Arizona State Sun Devils@ Arizona State Sun Devils
W 95–89
Dec 28
Northern Colorado Bearsvs Northern Colorado Bears
L 81–86
Dec 20
Stanford Cardinalvs Stanford Cardinal
L 68–77
Dec 17
Portland State Vikingsvs Portland State Vikings
W 84–73
Dec 13
UTSA Roadrunnersvs UTSA Roadrunners
W 88–64
Dec 6
Colorado State Rams@ Colorado State Rams
L 86–91
Dec 1
California Baptist Lancersvs California Baptist Lancers
W 78–70
Nov 28
Washington Huskiesvs Washington Huskies
W 81–68
Nov 27
San Francisco Donsvs San Francisco Dons
W 79–69
Nov 21
UC Davis Aggiesvs UC Davis Aggies
W 95–79
Nov 17
Alabama State Hornetsvs Alabama State Hornets
W 94–66
Nov 14
Providence Friarsvs Providence Friars
W 97–88
Nov 8
Eastern Washington Eaglesvs Eastern Washington Eagles
W 102–97
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Apr 1Oklahoma Soonersvs Oklahoma SoonersL 86-90
1
Mar 10Oklahoma State Cowboysvs Oklahoma State CowboysL 83-920
Mar 7Arizona Wildcatsvs Arizona WildcatsL 79-89
1
Mar 3Utah Utes@ Utah UtesW 78-920
Feb 28Houston Cougars@ Houston CougarsL 102-62
3
Feb 25Kansas State Wildcatsvs Kansas State WildcatsW 79-70
3
Feb 21Oklahoma State Cowboysvs Oklahoma State CowboysW 83-690
Feb 14BYU Cougars@ BYU CougarsL 90-86
3
Feb 11Texas Tech Red Raiders@ Texas Tech Red RaidersL 78-44
5
Feb 7Arizona State Sun Devilsvs Arizona State Sun DevilsW 78-700
Feb 4Baylor Bears@ Baylor BearsL 86-67
3
Feb 1TCU Horned Frogsvs TCU Horned FrogsW 87-61
1
Jan 29Iowa State Cyclones@ Iowa State CyclonesL 97-67
2
Jan 24UCF Knightsvs UCF KnightsL 86-950
Jan 20Kansas Jayhawksvs Kansas JayhawksL 69-75
1
Jan 17West Virginia Mountaineers@ West Virginia MountaineersL 72-61
3
Jan 14Cincinnati Bearcats@ Cincinnati BearcatsL 77-68
1
Jan 10Texas Tech Red Raidersvs Texas Tech Red RaidersL 71-73
2
Jan 7Utah Utesvs Utah UtesW 85-73
1
Jan 3Arizona State Sun Devils@ Arizona State Sun DevilsW 89-95
2
Dec 28Northern Colorado Bearsvs Northern Colorado BearsL 81-86
1
Dec 20Stanford Cardinalvs Stanford CardinalL 68-77
2
Dec 17Portland State Vikingsvs Portland State VikingsW 84-730
Dec 13UTSA Roadrunnersvs UTSA RoadrunnersW 88-64
1
Dec 6Colorado State Rams@ Colorado State RamsL 91-860
Dec 1California Baptist Lancersvs California Baptist LancersW 78-70
1
Nov 28Washington Huskiesvs Washington HuskiesW 81-68
2
Nov 27San Francisco Donsvs San Francisco DonsW 79-69
2
Nov 21UC Davis Aggiesvs UC Davis AggiesW 95-79
1
Nov 17Alabama State Hornetsvs Alabama State HornetsW 94-66
2
Nov 14Providence Friarsvs Providence FriarsW 97-88
1
Nov 8Eastern Washington Eaglesvs Eastern Washington EaglesW 102-97
2
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
West Virginia Mountaineers@ West Virginia MountaineersL 61-72Jan 17
21 pts allowed during 3 droughts (29.2% of 11-pt margin)
Major Factor
Stanford Cardinalvs Stanford CardinalL 68-77Dec 20
19 pts allowed during 2 droughts (24.7% of 9-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Texas Tech Red Raidersvs Texas Tech Red RaidersL 71-73Jan 10
17 pts allowed during 2 droughts (23.3% of 2-pt margin)
Significant Factor
BYU Cougars@ BYU CougarsL 86-90Feb 14
15 pts allowed during 3 droughts (16.7% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Northern Colorado Bearsvs Northern Colorado BearsL 81-86Dec 28
10 pts allowed during 1 drought (11.6% of 5-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Arizona Wildcatsvs Arizona WildcatsL 79-89Mar 7
9 pts allowed during 1 drought (10.1% of 10-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Colorado Buffaloes scoring droughts this season.
1
IJ
Isaiah Johnson
17% clutchⓘ
18
2
SR
Sebastian Rancik
67% clutchⓘ
6
3
JS
Josiah Sanders
60% clutchⓘ
5
4
BD
Bangot Dak
20% clutchⓘ
5
5
II
Ian Inman
33% clutchⓘ
3
6
AM
Alon Michaeli
2
7
EM
Elijah Malone
2
8
BH
Barrington Hargress
2
9
JH
Jalin Holland
2
3PT
2PT
FT