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Buffalo Bulls

Buffalo Bulls

MACG5

2025-26 drought profile · 31 games played · 16-15 (52%)

Buffalo Bulls ranks 6th of 12 MAC teams in droughts per game (1.23 dpg, below the MAC average of 1.26). Their droughts average 3:49 (0:07 below the MAC norm) and have allowed opponents an average of 6.8 pts per drought, contributing to 10 influenced losses (1 decisive/major) in 2025-26.

Drought profile

1.23

Droughts/game

Conf avg: 1.3 · #6 of 12 in MAC

6th in MAC

-0.03/game vs MAC avg

#6 in MAC (12 teams)

3:49

Avg duration

Conf avg: 3:55 · #4 of 12 in MAC

-0:07 vs MAC avg

How long cold streaks typically last

6.8

Avg drought cost

Conf avg: 7.5 · #4 of 12 in MAC

-0.8 pts vs MAC avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game impact

10

Influenced losses

1 decisive/major: close losses where droughts swung the margin

37%

Timeout rate

Coach called a timeout in 14 of 38 droughts

3-6

Record w/ 2+ droughts

vs 13-9 in games with 0 to 1 droughts

Drought trend, 2025-26

Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.2 droughts/game.

When droughts happen

Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 38 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.

Half breakdown

1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?

1st half
23
droughts · avg 3:52
2nd half
15
droughts · avg 3:44

Drought cost by severity

How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points. See if critical ones truly hurt more.

Notable (3–4 min)
28
74% of droughts
6.3 pts drought cost
Significant (4–5 min)
6
16% of droughts
7.7 pts drought cost
Critical (5+ min)
4
11% of droughts
9.8 pts drought cost

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.3 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
7.7 pts
Critical (5+ min)
9.8 pts

Key takeaway

Critical droughts allow 56% more points than notable ones (9.8 vs 6.3 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-ending shots

What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.

3-PT(13%)2-PT(63%)FT(24%)
3-pointer (5, 13%)2-pointer (24, 63%)FT (9, 24%)

Score differential by game

Every game plotted over 40 minutes: positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.

Mar 12
Akron Zips@ Akron Zips
L 70–73
Mar 6
Toledo Rockets@ Toledo Rockets
L 78–99
Mar 3
Eastern Michigan Eaglesvs Eastern Michigan Eagles
W 72–67
Feb 28
Central Michigan Chippewasvs Central Michigan Chippewas
L 53–62
Feb 24
Akron Zips@ Akron Zips
L 46–54
Feb 21
Massachusetts Minutemen@ Massachusetts Minutemen
W 86–82
Feb 17
Northern Illinois Huskiesvs Northern Illinois Huskies
L 70–72
Feb 11
Ball State Cardinals@ Ball State Cardinals
W 63–53
Feb 7
South Alabama Jaguars@ South Alabama Jaguars
L 69–81
Feb 3
Miami (OH) RedHawksvs Miami (OH) RedHawks
L 71–73
Jan 31
Ohio Bobcatsvs Ohio Bobcats
L 83–95
Jan 27
Bowling Green Falcons@ Bowling Green Falcons
W 89–78
Jan 23
Massachusetts Minutemenvs Massachusetts Minutemen
L 67–68
Jan 20
Akron Zipsvs Akron Zips
L 63–82
Jan 17
Miami (OH) RedHawks@ Miami (OH) RedHawks
L 102–105
Jan 13
Kent State Golden Flashesvs Kent State Golden Flashes
L 81–87
Jan 10
Ohio Bobcats@ Ohio Bobcats
L 80–91
Jan 3
Ball State Cardinalsvs Ball State Cardinals
W 85–72
Dec 31
Northern Illinois Huskies@ Northern Illinois Huskies
W 81–67
Dec 22
vs Penn State-Behrend Lions
W 92–63
Dec 20
Western Michigan Broncos@ Western Michigan Broncos
W 88–71
Dec 14
East Carolina Pirates@ East Carolina Pirates
L 70–73
Dec 9
UMBC Retrievers@ UMBC Retrievers
W 83–79
Dec 6
St. Bonaventure Bonniesvs St. Bonaventure Bonnies
L 69–77
Nov 29
Canisius Golden Griffins@ Canisius Golden Griffins
W 71–53
Nov 26
Bucknell Bison@ Bucknell Bison
W 73–71
Nov 24
VMI Keydetsvs VMI Keydets
W 78–70
Nov 18
Vermont Catamountsvs Vermont Catamounts
W 94–90
Nov 15
vs RIT Tigers
W 80–64
Nov 11
DePaul Blue Demons@ DePaul Blue Demons
W 66–53
Nov 7
Green Bay Phoenixvs Green Bay Phoenix
W 83–76
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →

Game log

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 12Akron Zips@ Akron ZipsL 73-70
1
Mar 6Toledo Rockets@ Toledo RocketsL 99-78
1
Mar 3Eastern Michigan Eaglesvs Eastern Michigan EaglesW 72-67
2
Feb 28Central Michigan Chippewasvs Central Michigan ChippewasL 53-62
2
Feb 24Akron Zips@ Akron ZipsL 54-46
2
Feb 21Massachusetts Minutemen@ Massachusetts MinutemenW 82-860
Feb 17Northern Illinois Huskiesvs Northern Illinois HuskiesL 70-72
2
Feb 11Ball State Cardinals@ Ball State CardinalsW 53-63
1
Feb 7South Alabama Jaguars@ South Alabama JaguarsL 81-69
4
Feb 3Miami (OH) RedHawksvs Miami (OH) RedHawksL 71-73
3
Jan 31Ohio Bobcatsvs Ohio BobcatsL 83-95
1
Jan 27Bowling Green Falcons@ Bowling Green FalconsW 78-89
1
Jan 23Massachusetts Minutemenvs Massachusetts MinutemenL 67-68
1
Jan 20Akron Zipsvs Akron ZipsL 63-82
1
Jan 17Miami (OH) RedHawks@ Miami (OH) RedHawksL 105-1020
Jan 13Kent State Golden Flashesvs Kent State Golden FlashesL 81-87
2
Jan 10Ohio Bobcats@ Ohio BobcatsL 91-80
1
Jan 3Ball State Cardinalsvs Ball State CardinalsW 85-720
Dec 31Northern Illinois Huskies@ Northern Illinois HuskiesW 67-81
1
Dec 22vs Penn State-Behrend LionsW 92-630
Dec 20Western Michigan Broncos@ Western Michigan BroncosW 71-880
Dec 14East Carolina Pirates@ East Carolina PiratesL 73-70
1
Dec 9UMBC Retrievers@ UMBC RetrieversW 79-830
Dec 6St. Bonaventure Bonniesvs St. Bonaventure BonniesL 69-77
1
Nov 29Canisius Golden Griffins@ Canisius Golden GriffinsW 53-71
1
Nov 26Bucknell Bison@ Bucknell BisonW 71-73
2
Nov 24VMI Keydetsvs VMI KeydetsW 78-70
1
Nov 18Vermont Catamountsvs Vermont CatamountsW 94-90
1
Nov 15vs RIT TigersW 80-64
1
Nov 11DePaul Blue Demons@ DePaul Blue DemonsW 53-66
3
Nov 7Green Bay Phoenixvs Green Bay PhoenixW 83-76
1

Drought-influenced losses

Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Drought cost" = points the opponent scores during a drought.

37 pts allowed during 4 droughts (45.7% of 12-pt margin)
Decisive Factor
16 pts allowed during 2 droughts (22.2% of 2-pt margin)
Significant Factor
15 pts allowed during 1 drought (22.1% of 1-pt margin)
Significant Factor
14 pts allowed during 3 droughts (19.2% of 2-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Akron Zips@ Akron ZipsL 46-54Feb 24
13 pts allowed during 2 droughts (24.1% of 8-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Akron Zips@ Akron ZipsL 70-73Mar 12
11 pts allowed during 1 drought (15.1% of 3-pt margin)
Significant Factor
11 pts allowed during 2 droughts (17.7% of 9-pt margin)
Significant Factor
10 pts allowed during 2 droughts (11.5% of 6-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Ohio Bobcats@ Ohio BobcatsL 80-91Jan 10
10 pts allowed during 1 drought (11% of 11-pt margin)
Minor Factor
8 pts allowed during 1 drought (10.4% of 8-pt margin)
Minor Factor

Drought killers

Players who most often ended Buffalo Bulls scoring droughts in 2025-26.

1
AB
Angelo Brizzi
22% clutchⓘ
9
2
RS
Ryan Sabol
63% clutchⓘ
8
3
DF
Daniel Freitag
43% clutchⓘ
7
4
EM
Ezra McKenna
67% clutchⓘ
3
5
TO
Tim Oboh
33% clutchⓘ
3
6
NB
Noah Batchelor
2
7
DJ
Derrick Talton Jr.
2
8
KJ
Kyle Jones
2
9
MP
Mikhail Pocknett
2
3PT
2PT
FT