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Monday, February 16, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Tarleton State Texans

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→3

+2

Pts ceded

~11→14

+3

Abilene Christian Wildcats

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:04

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~16→14

-2

Tarleton State Texans averages 1 droughts/game  · Abilene Christian Wildcats forces 1 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

Tarleton State Texans droughts

2

Abilene Christian Wildcats droughts

4:00

Longest drought

Abilene Christian Wildcats

28

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Abilene Christian Wildcats drought cost

2 droughts • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Tarleton State Texans drought cost

3 droughts • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Tarleton State Texans

Tarleton State Texans

3
1st Halfnotable

Score: 12 → 14 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Kade Douglas makes 11-foot floating jump shot

2-Pointer

3:50

2.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 19 → 20 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Ocypher Owens makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:08

8.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 62 → 64 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Jordan Mizell makes layup

2-Pointer

3:04

4.0 pts

Abilene Christian Wildcats

Abilene Christian Wildcats

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 14 → 16 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Christian Alston makes layup

2-Pointer

4:00

6.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 52 → 53 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Cbo Newton makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:32

8.0 pts