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Friday, March 27, 2026

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

UConn Huskies

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:57

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~11→9

-2

Michigan State Spartans

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~11→17

+6

UConn Huskies averages 1 droughts/game  · Michigan State Spartans forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

UConn Huskies droughts

3

Michigan State Spartans droughts

4:32

Longest drought

UConn Huskies

26

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Michigan State Spartans drought cost

3 droughts • 17 pts drought cost

17

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UConn Huskies drought cost

1 drought • 9 pts drought cost

9

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UConn Huskies

UConn Huskies

1
1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 35 → 38 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Braylon Mullins makes 24-foot three point jumper (Silas Demary Jr. assists)

3-Pointer

4:32

9.0 pts

Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State Spartans

3
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 49 → 51 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Carson Cooper makes 1-foot dunk

2-Pointer

3:33

5.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 4 → 5 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Coen Carr makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:29

5.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 5 → 6 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Trey Fort makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:04

7.0 pts