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Friday, March 27, 2026

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Duke Blue Devils

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:29

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 6 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~6→13

+7

St. John's Red Storm

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:14

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~12→11

-1

Duke Blue Devils averages 1 droughts/game  · St. John's Red Storm forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Duke Blue Devils droughts

2

St. John's Red Storm droughts

3:31

Longest drought

Duke Blue Devils

24

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Duke Blue Devils drought cost

1 drought • 13 pts drought cost

13

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

St. John's Red Storm drought cost

2 droughts • 11 pts drought cost

11

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils

1
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 44 → 45 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: Patrick Ngongba II makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:31

13.0 pts

St. John's Red Storm

St. John's Red Storm

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 65 → 67 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Bryce Hopkins makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:20

4.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 4 → 7 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Dylan Darling makes 25-foot three point jumper (Bryce Hopkins assists)

3-Pointer

3:11

7.0 pts