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Sunday, March 22, 2026

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Iowa State Cyclones

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→3

+2

Pts ceded

~11→20

+9

Kentucky Wildcats

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:40

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~10→11

+1

Iowa State Cyclones averages 1 droughts/game  · Kentucky Wildcats forces 2 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

Iowa State Cyclones droughts

2

Kentucky Wildcats droughts

4:15

Longest drought

Iowa State Cyclones

31

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Iowa State Cyclones drought cost

3 droughts • 20 pts drought cost

20

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Kentucky Wildcats drought cost

2 droughts • 11 pts drought cost

11

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Iowa State Cyclones

Iowa State Cyclones

3
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 2 → 4 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Nate Heise makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

4:15

10.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 20 → 23 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Milan Momcilovic makes 23-foot three point jumper (Tamin Lipsey assists)

3-Pointer

3:38

5.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 23 → 26 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Milan Momcilovic makes 23-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

3:11

5.0 pts

Kentucky Wildcats

Kentucky Wildcats

2
1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 20 → 22 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Denzel Aberdeen makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:48

11.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 22 → 25 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Otega Oweh makes 23-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

3:00

0.0 pts