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Saturday, March 21, 2026

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Michigan State Spartans

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~148

-6

Louisville Cardinals

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:36

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~34

+1

Pts Ceded

~1726

+9

Michigan State Spartans averages 2droughts/game  · Louisville Cardinals forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

6

Both teams combined

Michigan State Spartans Droughts

2

Louisville Cardinals Droughts

4

Longest Drought

4:12

Louisville Cardinals

Drought Point Swing

34

Total unanswered points during droughts

Louisville Cardinals Drought Impact

4 droughts26 unanswered points allowed

26

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

2 droughts8 unanswered points allowed

8

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State Spartans

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 2730 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Trey Fort makes 27-foot three point jumper (Jeremy Fears Jr. assists)

3-Pointer

3:46

11.3 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4244 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Coen Carr makes layup (Jeremy Fears Jr. assists)

2-Pointer

3:10

10.1 opp pts

Louisville Cardinals

Louisville Cardinals

4
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 1214 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Aly Khalifa makes layup (J'Vonne Hadley assists)

2-Pointer

4:12

15.2 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4750 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Adrian Wooley makes 25-foot three point jumper (Ryan Conwell assists)

3-Pointer

3:44

11.4 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 1921 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Ryan Conwell makes layup

2-Pointer

3:11

10.5 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 5053 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Ryan Conwell makes 27-foot three point jumper (Isaac McKneely assists)

3-Pointer

3:03

13.3 opp pts