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Saturday, March 21, 2026

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Michigan State Spartans

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~11→8

-3

Louisville Cardinals

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:36

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→4

+2

Pts ceded

~12→26

+14

Michigan State Spartans averages 1 droughts/game  · Louisville Cardinals forces 2 opp. droughts/game

6

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Michigan State Spartans droughts

4

Louisville Cardinals droughts

4:12

Longest drought

Louisville Cardinals

34

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Louisville Cardinals drought cost

4 droughts • 26 pts drought cost

26

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Michigan State Spartans drought cost

2 droughts • 8 pts drought cost

8

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State Spartans

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 27 → 30 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Trey Fort makes 27-foot three point jumper (Jeremy Fears Jr. assists)

3-Pointer

3:46

4.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 42 → 44 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Coen Carr makes layup (Jeremy Fears Jr. assists)

2-Pointer

3:10

4.0 pts

Louisville Cardinals

Louisville Cardinals

4
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 12 → 14 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Aly Khalifa makes layup (J'Vonne Hadley assists)

2-Pointer

4:12

8.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 47 → 50 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Adrian Wooley makes 25-foot three point jumper (Ryan Conwell assists)

3-Pointer

3:44

5.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 19 → 21 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Ryan Conwell makes layup

2-Pointer

3:11

5.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 50 → 53 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Ryan Conwell makes 27-foot three point jumper (Isaac McKneely assists)

3-Pointer

3:03

8.0 pts