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Thursday, March 19, 2026

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Duke Blue Devils

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:29

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~9→14

+5

Siena Saints

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:48

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 22 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~3→2

-1

Pts ceded

~22→22

+0

Duke Blue Devils averages 1 droughts/game  · Siena Saints forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Duke Blue Devils droughts

2

Siena Saints droughts

6:47

Longest drought

Siena Saints

36

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Duke Blue Devils drought cost

2 droughts • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Siena Saints drought cost

2 droughts • 22 pts drought cost

22

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils

2
1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 16 → 18 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Maliq Brown makes 1-foot dunk (Cameron Boozer assists)

2-Pointer

3:35

10.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 32 → 34 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Isaiah Evans makes 1-foot dunk

2-Pointer

3:07

4.0 pts

Siena Saints

Siena Saints

2
2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 61 → 63 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Riley Mulvey makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

6:47

11.0 pts

2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 47 → 50 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Brendan Coyle makes 26-foot three point jumper (Justice Shoats assists)

3-Pointer

4:24

11.0 pts