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Tuesday, January 20, 2026

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Morgan State Bears

Low confidence

0

est. droughts

4:03

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 1 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ No drought, as expected

Droughts

~0→0

+0

Pts ceded

~1→0

-1

Virginia-Lynchburg Dragons

High confidence

3

est. droughts

4:12

avg duration

13

pts/drought

est. 39 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~3→4

+1

Pts ceded

~39→39

+0

Morgan State Bears averages 1 droughts/game  · Virginia-Lynchburg Dragons forces 0 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

Morgan State Bears droughts

4

Virginia-Lynchburg Dragons droughts

3:47

Longest drought

Virginia-Lynchburg Dragons

39

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Virginia-Lynchburg Dragons drought cost

4 droughts • 39 pts drought cost

39

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Morgan State Bears

Morgan State Bears

0

No notable droughts

Virginia-Lynchburg Dragons

4
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 35 → 38 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Filaun Paythress makes 26-foot three point jumper (Jacob Newman assists)

3-Pointer

3:47

11.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 46 → 49 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Matthew Thomas makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jacob Newman assists)

3-Pointer

3:29

9.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 10 → 11 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Aamere Tolbert makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:06

12.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 32 → 33 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Jacob Newman makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:03

7.0 pts