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Thursday, March 5, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Portland Pilots

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:55

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~9→7

-2

Pepperdine Waves

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~12→14

+2

Portland Pilots averages 2 droughts/game  · Pepperdine Waves forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Portland Pilots droughts

2

Pepperdine Waves droughts

3:44

Longest drought

Pepperdine Waves

21

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Pepperdine Waves drought cost

2 droughts • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Portland Pilots drought cost

1 drought • 7 pts drought cost

7

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Portland Pilots

Portland Pilots

1
1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 44 → 46 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Garrett Nuckolls makes 14-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

3:13

7.0 pts

Pepperdine Waves

Pepperdine Waves

2
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 44 → 47 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Javon Cooley makes 23-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

3:44

10.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 59 → 61 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Styles Phipps makes 4-foot alley oop dunk (Yonatan Levy assists)

2-Pointer

3:02

4.0 pts