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Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Abilene Christian Wildcats

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:04

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Much better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~16→6

-10

Tarleton State Texans

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~11→14

+3

Abilene Christian Wildcats averages 2 droughts/game  · Tarleton State Texans forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Abilene Christian Wildcats droughts

2

Tarleton State Texans droughts

3:48

Longest drought

Tarleton State Texans

20

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Abilene Christian Wildcats drought cost

1 drought • 6 pts drought cost

6

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Tarleton State Texans drought cost

2 droughts • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Abilene Christian Wildcats

Abilene Christian Wildcats

1
1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 39 → 41 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Bradyn Hubbard makes 17-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

3:14

6.0 pts

Tarleton State Texans

Tarleton State Texans

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 4 → 6 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Chris Mpaka makes 5-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

3:48

10.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 42 → 45 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Ocypher Owens makes 28-foot three point jumper (Jordan Mizell assists)

3-Pointer

3:20

4.0 pts