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Saturday, March 14, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

UMBC Retrievers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:37

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~15→17

+2

Vermont Catamounts

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Much better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~14→4

-10

UMBC Retrievers averages 1 droughts/game  · Vermont Catamounts forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

UMBC Retrievers droughts

1

Vermont Catamounts droughts

4:11

Longest drought

UMBC Retrievers

21

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

UMBC Retrievers drought cost

3 droughts • 17 pts drought cost

17

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Vermont Catamounts drought cost

1 drought • 4 pts drought cost

4

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UMBC Retrievers

UMBC Retrievers

3
2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 44 → 46 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Caden Diggs makes layup

2-Pointer

4:11

8.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2 → 3 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: DJ Armstrong Jr. makes free throw 2 of 3

Free Throw

3:20

6.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 10 → 12 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Caden Diggs makes 10-foot step back jumpshot

2-Pointer

3:11

3.0 pts

Vermont Catamounts

Vermont Catamounts

1
1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 28 → 30 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: TJ Hurley makes 21-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:24

4.0 pts