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Saturday, March 7, 2026

Conference game
UMBC RetrieversUMBC Retrievers

84

vs
New Hampshire WildcatsNew Hampshire Wildcats

69

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

UMBC Retrievers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:37

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~12→24

+12

New Hampshire Wildcats

High confidence

3

est. droughts

4:03

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 22 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~3→2

-1

Pts ceded

~22→19

-3

UMBC Retrievers averages 1 droughts/game  · New Hampshire Wildcats forces 2 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

UMBC Retrievers droughts

2

New Hampshire Wildcats droughts

5:13

Longest drought

New Hampshire Wildcats

43

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

New Hampshire Wildcats drought cost

2 droughts • 19 pts drought cost

19

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UMBC Retrievers drought cost

3 droughts • 24 pts drought cost

24

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UMBC Retrievers

UMBC Retrievers

3
1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 34 → 37 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: DJ Armstrong Jr. makes 25-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

4:33

12.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 41 → 42 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Ace Valentine makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:53

6.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 26 → 29 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Caden Diggs makes 25-foot three point jumper (Riley Jacobs assists)

3-Pointer

3:14

6.0 pts

New Hampshire Wildcats

New Hampshire Wildcats

2
1st Halfcritical

Score: 4 → 6 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Belal El Shakery makes layup

2-Pointer

5:13

8.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 37 → 40 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Jack Graham makes 25-foot three point jumper (Belal El Shakery assists)

3-Pointer

3:05

11.0 pts