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Saturday, March 7, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

UMBC Retrievers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:37

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~23

+1

Pts Ceded

~1824

+6

New Hampshire Wildcats

High confidence

3

est. droughts

4:03

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 25 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Better than predicted

Droughts

~32

-1

Pts Ceded

~2519

-6

UMBC Retrievers averages 2 droughts/game  · New Hampshire Wildcats forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

5

Both teams combined

UMBC Retrievers Droughts

3

New Hampshire Wildcats Droughts

2

Longest Drought

5:13

New Hampshire Wildcats

Drought Point Swing

43

Total unanswered points during droughts

New Hampshire Wildcats Drought Impact

2 droughts19 unanswered points allowed

19.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

UMBC Retrievers Drought Impact

3 droughts24 unanswered points allowed

24.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UMBC Retrievers

UMBC Retrievers

3
1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 3437 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: DJ Armstrong Jr. makes 25-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

4:33

21.6 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4142 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Ace Valentine makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:53

14.2 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2629 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Caden Diggs makes 25-foot three point jumper (Riley Jacobs assists)

3-Pointer

3:14

12.8 opp pts

New Hampshire Wildcats

New Hampshire Wildcats

2
1st Halfcritical

Score: 46 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Belal El Shakery makes layup

2-Pointer

5:13

17.0 opp pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 3740 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Jack Graham makes 25-foot three point jumper (Belal El Shakery assists)

3-Pointer

3:05

16.3 opp pts