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Saturday, February 7, 2026

Texas State BobcatsTexas State Bobcats

77

vs
Western Michigan BroncosWestern Michigan Broncos

61

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Texas State Bobcats

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

4:03

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 7 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~7→5

-2

Western Michigan Broncos

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:05

avg duration

9

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~15→18

+3

Texas State Bobcats averages 1 droughts/game  · Western Michigan Broncos forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Texas State Bobcats droughts

2

Western Michigan Broncos droughts

4:45

Longest drought

Western Michigan Broncos

23

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Texas State Bobcats drought cost

1 drought • 5 pts drought cost

5

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Western Michigan Broncos drought cost

2 droughts • 18 pts drought cost

18

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Texas State Bobcats

Texas State Bobcats

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 5 → 7 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Mark Drone makes 10-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:40

5.0 pts

Western Michigan Broncos

Western Michigan Broncos

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 20 → 23 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Trey Lewis makes 26-foot three point jumper (Justice Williams assists)

3-Pointer

4:45

9.0 pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 15 → 18 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: EJ Ryans makes 23-foot three point jumper (Declan Peterson assists)

3-Pointer

4:04

9.0 pts