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Saturday, January 17, 2026

Conference game
Valparaiso BeaconsValparaiso Beacons

54

vs
Northern Iowa PanthersNorthern Iowa Panthers

44

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Valparaiso Beacons

High confidence

3

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~3→2

-1

Pts ceded

~18→9

-9

Northern Iowa Panthers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:10

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~10→15

+5

Valparaiso Beacons averages 1 droughts/game  · Northern Iowa Panthers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Valparaiso Beacons droughts

2

Northern Iowa Panthers droughts

8:17

Longest drought

Northern Iowa Panthers

24

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Northern Iowa Panthers drought cost

2 droughts • 15 pts drought cost

15

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Valparaiso Beacons drought cost

2 droughts • 9 pts drought cost

9

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Valparaiso Beacons

Valparaiso Beacons

2
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 15 → 18 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Mark Brown Jr. makes 27-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

5:14

9.0 pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 9 → 12 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Owen Dease makes 26-foot three point jumper (JT Pettigrew assists)

3-Pointer

4:43

0.0 pts

Northern Iowa Panthers

Northern Iowa Panthers

2
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 6 → 8 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Will Hornseth makes 2-foot jumper

2-Pointer

8:17

10.0 pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 4 → 6 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Trey Campbell makes driving layup

2-Pointer

4:04

5.0 pts