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Wednesday, January 28, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Valparaiso Beacons

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~15→19

+4

Belmont Bruins

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:50

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~9→16

+7

Valparaiso Beacons averages 1 droughts/game  · Belmont Bruins forces 2 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

Valparaiso Beacons droughts

2

Belmont Bruins droughts

4:52

Longest drought

Valparaiso Beacons

35

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Belmont Bruins drought cost

2 droughts • 16 pts drought cost

16

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Valparaiso Beacons drought cost

3 droughts • 19 pts drought cost

19

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Valparaiso Beacons

Valparaiso Beacons

3
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 54 → 56 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Shon Tupuola makes 6-foot hook shot (JT Pettigrew assists)

2-Pointer

4:52

7.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 64 → 65 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Shon Tupuola makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:29

2.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 24 → 25 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Tucker Tornatta makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:11

10.0 pts

Belmont Bruins

Belmont Bruins

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 34 → 36 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Jabez Jenkins makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

3:29

8.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 60 → 62 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Brigham Rogers makes layup (Isaiah West assists)

2-Pointer

3:23

8.0 pts