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Saturday, November 22, 2025

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Saint Mary's Gaels

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:44

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 5 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~5→6

+1

UC Merced Bobcats

High confidence

5

est. droughts

5:15

avg duration

13

pts/drought

est. 60 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than predicted

Droughts

~5→3

-2

Pts ceded

~60→38

-22

Saint Mary's Gaels averages 1 droughts/game  · UC Merced Bobcats forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Saint Mary's Gaels droughts

3

UC Merced Bobcats droughts

6:25

Longest drought

UC Merced Bobcats

44

Drought point swing

Total unanswered points during droughts

Saint Mary's Gaels drought impact

1 drought • 6 unanswered points allowed

6

Points allowed during droughts

Actual point differential change

UC Merced Bobcats drought impact

3 droughts • 38 unanswered points allowed

38

Points allowed during droughts

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Saint Mary's Gaels

Saint Mary's Gaels

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 36 → 38 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Andrew McKeever made Jumper. Assisted by Dillan Shaw.

2-Pointer

3:32

14.5 opp pts

UC Merced Bobcats

3
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 9 → 11 · Opponent scored 14 pts

Ended by: Pawllos Habtom made Layup. Assisted by Elijah Charles.

2-Pointer

6:25

20.7 opp pts

2nd Halfcritical

Score: 28 → 30 · Opponent scored 16 pts

Ended by: Myles Haynes made Layup.

2-Pointer

5:23

21.7 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 30 → 32 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Jon Taylor made Jumper. Assisted by Myles Haynes.

2-Pointer

3:56

12.1 opp pts