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Saturday, March 7, 2026

Conference game
Utah State AggiesUtah State Aggies

94

vs
New Mexico LobosNew Mexico Lobos

90

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Utah State Aggies

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:46

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 7 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~7→6

-1

New Mexico Lobos

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:42

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~8→13

+5

Utah State Aggies averages 1 droughts/game  · New Mexico Lobos forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Utah State Aggies droughts

2

New Mexico Lobos droughts

3:38

Longest drought

New Mexico Lobos

19

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

New Mexico Lobos drought cost

2 droughts • 13 pts drought cost

13

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Utah State Aggies drought cost

1 drought • 6 pts drought cost

6

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Utah State Aggies

Utah State Aggies

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 64 → 67 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: MJ Collins Jr. makes 24-foot three point jumper (Drake Allen assists)

3-Pointer

3:06

6.0 pts

New Mexico Lobos

New Mexico Lobos

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 10 → 12 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Deyton Albury makes 10-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:38

5.0 pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 2 → 4 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Jake Hall makes layup

2-Pointer

3:19

8.0 pts