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Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Saint Mary's Gaels

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:44

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 7 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~7→9

+2

San Diego Toreros

High confidence

3

est. droughts

4:03

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 21 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than predicted

Droughts

~3→2

-1

Pts ceded

~21→11

-10

Saint Mary's Gaels averages 1 droughts/game  · San Diego Toreros forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Saint Mary's Gaels droughts

2

San Diego Toreros droughts

3:34

Longest drought

Saint Mary's Gaels

20

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Saint Mary's Gaels drought cost

2 droughts • 9 pts drought cost

9

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

San Diego Toreros drought cost

2 droughts • 11 pts drought cost

11

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Saint Mary's Gaels

Saint Mary's Gaels

2
1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 44 → 45 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Paulius Murauskas makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:34

7.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 26 → 28 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Liam Campbell makes 3-foot floating jump shot

2-Pointer

3:11

2.0 pts

San Diego Toreros

San Diego Toreros

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 12 → 14 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Adrian McIntyre makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:13

4.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 39 → 42 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Toneari Lane makes 24-foot three point jumper (Adrian McIntyre assists)

3-Pointer

3:07

7.0 pts