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Saturday, February 7, 2026

Conference game
Nevada Wolf PackNevada Wolf Pack

69

vs
Fresno State BulldogsFresno State Bulldogs

59

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Nevada Wolf Pack

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:46

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 7 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~7→2

-5

Fresno State Bulldogs

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:49

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~11→20

+9

Nevada Wolf Pack averages 1 droughts/game  · Fresno State Bulldogs forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Nevada Wolf Pack droughts

2

Fresno State Bulldogs droughts

6:21

Longest drought

Fresno State Bulldogs

22

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Fresno State Bulldogs drought cost

2 droughts • 20 pts drought cost

20

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Nevada Wolf Pack drought cost

1 drought • 2 pts drought cost

2

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Nevada Wolf Pack

Nevada Wolf Pack

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 9 → 11 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Jeriah Coleman makes 0-foot dunk (Tyler Rolison assists)

2-Pointer

3:31

2.0 pts

Fresno State Bulldogs

Fresno State Bulldogs

2
1H → 2Hcritical

Score: 28 → 30 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Bastien Rieber makes 10-foot jumper

2-Pointer

6:21

7.0 pts

2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 45 → 46 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: Jake Heidbreder makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

5:08

13.0 pts