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Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

New Mexico Lobos

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:42

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 7 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~7→3

-4

Fresno State Bulldogs

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:49

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~12→19

+7

New Mexico Lobos averages 1 droughts/game  · Fresno State Bulldogs forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

New Mexico Lobos droughts

2

Fresno State Bulldogs droughts

5:20

Longest drought

Fresno State Bulldogs

22

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Fresno State Bulldogs drought cost

2 droughts • 19 pts drought cost

19

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

New Mexico Lobos drought cost

1 drought • 3 pts drought cost

3

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
New Mexico Lobos

New Mexico Lobos

1
1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 36 → 39 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Antonio Chol makes 23-foot three point jumper (Luke Haupt assists)

3-Pointer

3:44

3.0 pts

Fresno State Bulldogs

Fresno State Bulldogs

2
1st Halfcritical

Score: 7 → 10 · Opponent scored 14 pts

Ended by: Jake Heidbreder makes 23-foot three point jumper (DJ Stickman assists)

3-Pointer

5:20

14.0 pts

1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 12 → 15 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Jake Heidbreder makes 24-foot three point jumper (Bastien Rieber assists)

3-Pointer

4:22

5.0 pts