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Wednesday, December 3, 2025

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

James Madison Dukes

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:56

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~12→8

-4

North Carolina Central Eagles

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 19 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~19→24

+5

James Madison Dukes averages 2 droughts/game  · North Carolina Central Eagles forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

James Madison Dukes droughts

3

North Carolina Central Eagles droughts

4:29

Longest drought

North Carolina Central Eagles

32

Drought point swing

Total unanswered points during droughts

James Madison Dukes drought impact

1 drought • 8 unanswered points allowed

8

Points allowed during droughts

Actual point differential change

North Carolina Central Eagles drought impact

3 droughts • 24 unanswered points allowed

24

Points allowed during droughts

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
James Madison Dukes

James Madison Dukes

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 41 → 43 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Justin McBride made Jumper.

2-Pointer

3:45

14.3 opp pts

North Carolina Central Eagles

North Carolina Central Eagles

3
2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 59 → 62 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Gage Lattimore made Three Point Jumper.

3-Pointer

4:29

18.9 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 6 → 8 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Gage Lattimore made Jumper.

2-Pointer

3:34

12.5 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 40 → 41 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Dionte Johnson made Free Throw.

Free Throw

3:21

10.2 opp pts