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Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Richmond Spiders

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~12→13

+1

Dayton Flyers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:50

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~14→17

+3

Richmond Spiders averages 1 droughts/game  · Dayton Flyers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Richmond Spiders droughts

3

Dayton Flyers droughts

3:57

Longest drought

Dayton Flyers

30

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Dayton Flyers drought cost

3 droughts • 17 pts drought cost

17

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Richmond Spiders drought cost

2 droughts • 13 pts drought cost

13

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Richmond Spiders

Richmond Spiders

2
1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 2 → 4 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: David Thomas makes 4-foot floating jump shot

2-Pointer

3:21

9.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 56 → 57 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: AJ Lopez makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:09

4.0 pts

Dayton Flyers

Dayton Flyers

3
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 56 → 58 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Amaël L'Etang makes 6-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:57

8.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 60 → 62 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Jordan Derkack makes 8-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:38

4.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 40 → 43 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: De'Shayne Montgomery makes 24-foot three point jumper (Amaël L'Etang assists)

3-Pointer

3:16

5.0 pts