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Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Richmond Spiders

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~1613

-3

Dayton Flyers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:50

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~23

+1

Pts Ceded

~1717

+0

Richmond Spiders averages 2 droughts/game  · Dayton Flyers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

5

Both teams combined

Richmond Spiders Droughts

2

Dayton Flyers Droughts

3

Longest Drought

3:57

Dayton Flyers

Drought Point Swing

30

Total unanswered points during droughts

Dayton Flyers Drought Impact

3 droughts17 unanswered points allowed

17.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Richmond Spiders Drought Impact

2 droughts13 unanswered points allowed

13.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Richmond Spiders

Richmond Spiders

2
1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 24 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: David Thomas makes 4-foot floating jump shot

2-Pointer

3:21

14.0 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 5657 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: AJ Lopez makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:09

8.7 opp pts

Dayton Flyers

Dayton Flyers

3
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 5658 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Amaël L'Etang makes 6-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:57

14.4 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 6062 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Jordan Derkack makes 8-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:38

9.9 opp pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 4043 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: De'Shayne Montgomery makes 24-foot three point jumper (Amaël L'Etang assists)

3-Pointer

3:16

10.3 opp pts