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Tuesday, February 3, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Dayton Flyers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:50

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~12→14

+2

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:39

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~11→8

-3

Dayton Flyers averages 1 droughts/game  · St. Bonaventure Bonnies forces 1 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Dayton Flyers droughts

1

St. Bonaventure Bonnies droughts

5:22

Longest drought

Dayton Flyers

22

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Dayton Flyers drought cost

1 drought • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

St. Bonaventure Bonnies drought cost

1 drought • 8 pts drought cost

8

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Dayton Flyers

Dayton Flyers

1
2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 47 → 49 · Opponent scored 14 pts

Ended by: Jordan Derkack makes layup (Malcolm Thomas assists)

2-Pointer

5:22

14.0 pts

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 22 → 24 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Darryl Simmons II makes 8-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:00

8.0 pts