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Sunday, March 8, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Rice Owls

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:42

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~10→13

+3

UTSA Roadrunners

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:60

avg duration

9

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~15→18

+3

Rice Owls averages 2 droughts/game  · UTSA Roadrunners forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Rice Owls droughts

2

UTSA Roadrunners droughts

4:18

Longest drought

UTSA Roadrunners

31

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Rice Owls drought cost

2 droughts • 13 pts drought cost

13

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UTSA Roadrunners drought cost

2 droughts • 18 pts drought cost

18

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Rice Owls

Rice Owls

2
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 78 → 80 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Stephen Giwa makes 2-foot dunk (Jalen Smith assists)

2-Pointer

3:49

8.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 39 → 41 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Jalen Smith makes 1-foot dunk (Nick Anderson assists)

2-Pointer

3:18

5.0 pts

UTSA Roadrunners

UTSA Roadrunners

2
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 50 → 51 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Dorian Hayes makes free throw 1 of 3

Free Throw

4:18

7.0 pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 7 → 10 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: LJ Brown makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jamir Simpson assists)

3-Pointer

3:09

11.0 pts