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Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

East Carolina Pirates

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Expected a drought, none occurred

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~8→0

-8

UTSA Roadrunners

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:60

avg duration

9

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→4

+2

Pts ceded

~15→26

+11

East Carolina Pirates averages 1 droughts/game  · UTSA Roadrunners forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

East Carolina Pirates droughts

4

UTSA Roadrunners droughts

4:42

Longest drought

UTSA Roadrunners

26

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

UTSA Roadrunners drought cost

4 droughts • 26 pts drought cost

26

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
East Carolina Pirates

East Carolina Pirates

0

No notable droughts

UTSA Roadrunners

UTSA Roadrunners

4
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 16 → 18 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Kaidon Rayfield makes 3-foot dunk (Brent Moss assists)

2-Pointer

4:42

8.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 13 → 16 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Kaidon Rayfield makes 24-foot three point jumper (Jamir Simpson assists)

3-Pointer

3:16

8.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 54 → 56 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Daniel Akitoby makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:15

6.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 43 → 44 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Daniel Akitoby makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:01

4.0 pts