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Wednesday, January 7, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

UTSA Roadrunners

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:60

avg duration

9

pts/drought

est. 20 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~20→28

+8

Charlotte 49ers

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~10→7

-3

UTSA Roadrunners averages 2 droughts/game  · Charlotte 49ers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

UTSA Roadrunners droughts

2

Charlotte 49ers droughts

5:21

Longest drought

UTSA Roadrunners

35

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Charlotte 49ers drought cost

2 droughts • 7 pts drought cost

7

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UTSA Roadrunners drought cost

3 droughts • 28 pts drought cost

28

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UTSA Roadrunners

UTSA Roadrunners

3
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 23 → 26 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Dorian Hayes makes 24-foot three point jumper (Brent Moss assists)

3-Pointer

5:21

7.0 pts

2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 40 → 41 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Jamir Simpson makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:02

9.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 32 → 34 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Jamir Simpson makes 15-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

3:50

12.0 pts

Charlotte 49ers

Charlotte 49ers

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 27 → 29 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Jarne Elouna Eyenga makes 12-foot floating jump shot

2-Pointer

3:40

2.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 61 → 64 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Ben Bradford makes 23-foot three point jumper (Major Freeman assists)

3-Pointer

3:35

5.0 pts