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Tuesday, November 11, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Tarleton State Texans

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~14→2

-12

Merrimack Warriors

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:57

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 20 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~3→4

+1

Pts ceded

~20→22

+2

Tarleton State Texans averages 1 droughts/game  · Merrimack Warriors forces 2 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Tarleton State Texans droughts

4

Merrimack Warriors droughts

5:08

Longest drought

Merrimack Warriors

24

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Merrimack Warriors drought cost

4 droughts • 22 pts drought cost

22

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Tarleton State Texans drought cost

1 drought • 2 pts drought cost

2

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Tarleton State Texans

Tarleton State Texans

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 47 → 48 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Freddy Hicks made Free Throw.

Free Throw

3:25

2.0 pts

Merrimack Warriors

Merrimack Warriors

4
1H → 2Hcritical

Score: 31 → 33 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Kevair Kennedy made Layup.

2-Pointer

5:08

5.0 pts

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 38 → 40 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: KC Ugwuakazi made Jumper. Assisted by Todd Brogna.

2-Pointer

4:18

5.0 pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 9 → 11 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Ernest Shelton made Layup.

2-Pointer

4:09

4.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 20 → 22 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Malik Edmead made Layup.

2-Pointer

3:34

8.0 pts