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Monday, November 24, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

App State Mountaineers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~11→23

+12

Elon Phoenix

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Expected a drought, none occurred

Droughts

~2→0

-2

Pts ceded

~17→0

-17

App State Mountaineers averages 2 droughts/game  · Elon Phoenix forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

App State Mountaineers droughts

0

Elon Phoenix droughts

4:20

Longest drought

App State Mountaineers

23

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

App State Mountaineers drought cost

3 droughts • 23 pts drought cost

23

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
App State Mountaineers

App State Mountaineers

3
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 52 → 53 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Chad Moodie made Free Throw.

Free Throw

4:20

6.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 44 → 45 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Chad Moodie made Free Throw.

Free Throw

3:40

6.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 30 → 31 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Kasen Jennings made Free Throw.

Free Throw

3:38

11.0 pts

Elon Phoenix

Elon Phoenix

0

No notable droughts