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Thursday, March 5, 2026

Conference game
Iowa HawkeyesIowa Hawkeyes

68

vs
Michigan WolverinesMichigan Wolverines

71

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Iowa Hawkeyes

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:05

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~12→7

-5

Michigan Wolverines

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 5 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~5→16

+11

Iowa Hawkeyes averages 1 droughts/game  · Michigan Wolverines forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Iowa Hawkeyes droughts

2

Michigan Wolverines droughts

3:45

Longest drought

Iowa Hawkeyes

23

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Iowa Hawkeyes drought cost

1 drought • 7 pts drought cost

7

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Michigan Wolverines drought cost

2 droughts • 16 pts drought cost

16

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Iowa Hawkeyes

Iowa Hawkeyes

1
1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 13 → 15 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Bennett Stirtz makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:45

7.0 pts

Michigan Wolverines

Michigan Wolverines

2
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 43 → 44 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Yaxel Lendeborg makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:20

9.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 3 → 5 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Aday Mara makes 2-foot dunk (Yaxel Lendeborg assists)

2-Pointer

3:18

7.0 pts