Home

Wednesday, March 4, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Northwestern Wildcats

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~13→9

-4

Purdue Boilermakers

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~9→15

+6

Northwestern Wildcats averages 2 droughts/game  · Purdue Boilermakers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Northwestern Wildcats droughts

2

Purdue Boilermakers droughts

6:02

Longest drought

Purdue Boilermakers

24

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Northwestern Wildcats drought cost

1 drought • 9 pts drought cost

9

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Purdue Boilermakers drought cost

2 droughts • 15 pts drought cost

15

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Northwestern Wildcats

Northwestern Wildcats

1
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 43 → 46 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Jayden Reid makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jordan Clayton assists)

3-Pointer

3:21

9.0 pts

Purdue Boilermakers

Purdue Boilermakers

2
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 6 → 9 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: Gicarri Harris makes 28-foot three point jumper (Braden Smith assists)

3-Pointer

6:02

13.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 16 → 19 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Fletcher Loyer makes 27-foot three point jumper (Jack Benter assists)

3-Pointer

3:01

2.0 pts